Çorum FK
- ATT
- 7716
- DEF
- 6313
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 6413
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Çorum Sehir Stadyumu, Çorum, Türkiye
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Çorum FK (7th, 16 pts from 10) host Fenerbahce (6th, 16 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Çorum FK have scored 21 and conceded 16 in 10 Süper Lig games (2.1 and 1.6 per game). Fenerbahce have scored 24 and conceded 10 in 10 Süper Lig games (2.4 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Çorum FK LWWLW, Fenerbahce LWDLL. The goals model expects about 1.7–1.9. Fenerbahce are slight favorites: Çorum FK 34%, draw 22%, Fenerbahce 44%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Çorum FK 1537, Fenerbahce 1648) give Çorum FK an expected score of 43%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Çorum FK 1.69 · Fenerbahce 1.95 · most likely score 1–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.73 / away 1.27 goals per game from 90 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Çorum FK expected score 43%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Çorum FK | Fenerbahce | |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Table position | 6th |
| 16 (10) | Points (played) | 16 (10) |
| 5-1-4 | W-D-L | 5-1-4 |
| 2.10 | Goals for / game* | 2.40 |
| 1.60 | Goals against / game* | 1.00 |
| LWWLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LWDLL |
| 1537 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1648 |
| 1.31 / 1.05 | Attack / defence index | 1.46 / 0.74 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
No previous meetings in the data feed.