The Coefficient5712OVRHome
Caykur Rizespor
- ATT
- 5511
- DEF
- 6513
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 5812
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Caykur Rizespor vs Erzurum BB: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 8, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeCaykur Rizespor5712OVR
Kick-off 4:30 AM CT
AwayErzurum BB6112OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 4:30 AM CT · Estadio Caykur Didi, Rize, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5511Attack4910
- 6513Defence6513
- 4810Form7615
- 5812Elo strength5912
- 5712Overall6112
6112OVRAway
Erzurum BB
- ATT
- 4910
- DEF
- 6513
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 5912
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Caykur Rizespor (13th, 11 pts from 10) host Erzurum (11th, 14 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Caykur Rizespor have scored 11 and conceded 15 in 10 Süper Lig games (1.1 and 1.5 per game). Erzurum have scored 9 and conceded 15 in 10 Süper Lig games (0.9 and 1.5 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Caykur Rizespor WLLLD, Erzurum WDWWL. In the last 4 meetings on record, Caykur Rizespor won 1, Erzurum won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.4–0.9. Caykur Rizespor are clear favorites: Caykur Rizespor 49%, draw 28%, Erzurum 24%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Caykur Rizespor 1480, Erzurum 1492) give Caykur Rizespor an expected score of 57%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Caykur Rizespor 1.38 · Erzurum 0.88 · most likely score 1–0 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.73 / away 1.27 goals per game from 90 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Caykur Rizespor expected score 57%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Caykur Rizespor | Erzurum | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Table position | 11th |
| 11 (10) | Points (played) | 14 (10) |
| 3-2-5 | W-D-L | 4-2-4 |
| 1.10 | Goals for / game* | 0.90 |
| 1.50 | Goals against / game* | 1.50 |
| WLLLD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WDWWL |
| 1480 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1492 |
| 0.79 / 1.00 | Attack / defence index | 0.69 / 1.00 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Caykur Rizespor 1 win · 2 draws · Erzurum 1 win
- Caykur Rizespor 0–2 Erzurum BB
- Erzurum BB 0–0 Caykur Rizespor
- Erzurum BB 0–1 Caykur Rizespor
- Caykur Rizespor 0–0 Erzurum BB