The Coefficient6012OVRHome
Lens
- ATT
- 5311
- DEF
- 6112
- FRM
- 5812
- ELO
- 7014
← Match Center
Lens vs Como: UEFA Champions League, Nov 4, 2026
UEFA Champions LeagueHomeLens6012OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayComo8016OVR
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, France
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5311Attack7816
- 6112Defence6814
- 5812Form9920
- 7014Elo strength8116
- 6012Overall8016
8016OVRAway
Como
- ATT
- 7816
- DEF
- 6814
- FRM
- 9920
- ELO
- 8116
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Lens (26th, 3 pts from 3) host Como (11th, 6 pts from 3) in the Champions League table as it stands. Lens have scored 3 and conceded 7 in 3 Champions League games (1.0 and 2.3 per game). Como have scored 10 and conceded 5 in 3 Champions League games (3.3 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Lens LWLWL, Como WWWWW. The goals model expects about 1.6–2.3. Como are clear favorites: Lens 27%, draw 20%, Como 54%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Lens 1589, Como 1692) give Lens an expected score of 44%, which agrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Lens 1.63 · Como 2.35 · most likely score 1–2 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.33 / away 1.59 goals per game from 63 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Lens expected score 44%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Lens | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 26th | Table position | 11th |
| 3 (3) | Points (played) | 6 (3) |
| 1-0-2 | W-D-L | 2-0-1 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 3.33 |
| 2.33 | Goals against / game* | 1.67 |
| LWLWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWWW |
| 1589 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1692 |
| 0.76 / 1.10 | Attack / defence index | 1.35 / 0.93 |
Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.