The Coefficient5712OVRHome
Fenerbahce
- ATT
- 5311
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 7515
← Match Center
Fenerbahce vs Liverpool: UEFA Champions League, Nov 4, 2026
UEFA Champions LeagueHomeFenerbahce5712OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwayLiverpool7615OVR
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium, Istanbul, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5311Attack8317
- 5511Defence6112
- 4810Form8517
- 7515Elo strength7716
- 5712Overall7615
7615OVRAway
Liverpool
- ATT
- 8317
- DEF
- 6112
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 7716
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Fenerbahce (31st, 2 pts from 3) host Liverpool (4th, 9 pts from 3) in the Champions League table as it stands. Fenerbahce have scored 3 and conceded 9 in 3 Champions League games (1.0 and 3.0 per game). Liverpool have scored 12 and conceded 7 in 3 Champions League games (4.0 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Fenerbahce LWDLL, Liverpool WWWWL. The goals model expects about 1.9–3.1. Liverpool are clear favorites: Fenerbahce 23%, draw 16%, Liverpool 61%. The single most likely score is 1–3, but even that only has a 6% chance. Elo ratings (Fenerbahce 1639, Liverpool 1656) give Fenerbahce an expected score of 56%, which disagrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Fenerbahce 1.93 · Liverpool 3.05 · most likely score 1–3 (6%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.33 / away 1.59 goals per game from 63 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Fenerbahce expected score 56%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Featured creators
Sinan YılmazSüper Lig analyst · Saha İçi / Maçtayız
Pre-match▶ Play video
Galatasaray - Stuttgart, Fenerbahçe - Liverpool Maç Önü! | Avrupada Kritik Gece!
Our summary, not a quote: Pre-match look at Fenerbahce vs Liverpool (part of a show covering several games).
Watch on YouTube ↗ · Follow on X ↗ via Saha İçi
Embedded from the creators' official channels. Opinions are the creators' own, not The Coefficient's.
Key numbers
| Fenerbahce | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 31st | Table position | 4th |
| 2 (3) | Points (played) | 9 (3) |
| 0-2-1 | W-D-L | 3-0-0 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 4.00 |
| 3.00 | Goals against / game* | 2.33 |
| LWDLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWWL |
| 1639 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1656 |
| 0.76 / 1.27 | Attack / defence index | 1.52 / 1.10 |
Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.