The Coefficient
EN – Language: English
← Match Center

Sunderland vs Chelsea: Premier League, Nov 8, 2026

Premier League
HomeSunderland5311OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayChelsea6914OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Stadium of Light, Sunderland, England

Team comparison

Ratings

5311OVRHome

Sunderland

ATT
4810
DEF
5411
FRM
5311
ELO
6012
  • 4810Attack8016
  • 5411Defence5812
  • 5311Form7114
  • 6012Elo strength6814
  • 5311Overall6914
ATTDEFFRMELO
Sunderland Chelsea
6914OVRAway

Chelsea

ATT
8016
DEF
5812
FRM
7114
ELO
6814

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Sunderland (20th, 5 pts from 9) host Chelsea (4th, 16 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Sunderland have scored 7 and conceded 17 in 9 Premier League games (0.8 and 1.9 per game). Chelsea have scored 19 and conceded 15 in 9 Premier League games (2.1 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Sunderland LDDWL, Chelsea WWLLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Sunderland won 3, Chelsea won 2 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–2.2. Chelsea are clear favorites: Sunderland 20%, draw 20%, Chelsea 60%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Sunderland 1500, Chelsea 1574) give Sunderland an expected score of 48%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Sunderland winDrawChelsea win

Expected goals (model): Sunderland 1.20 · Chelsea 2.22 · most likely score 1–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.50 / away 1.20 goals per game from 90 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Sunderland expected score 48%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

SunderlandChelsea
20thTable position4th
5 (9)Points (played)16 (9)
1-2-6W-D-L5-1-3
0.78Goals for / game*2.11
1.89Goals against / game*1.67
LDDWLForm, last 5 (all comps)WWLLW
1500Elo rating (pre-match)1574
0.68 / 1.30Attack / defence index1.42 / 1.18

Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Sunderland 3 wins · 0 draws · Chelsea 2 wins

  • Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea
  • Chelsea 1–2 Sunderland
  • Chelsea 5–1 Sunderland
  • Sunderland 0–1 Chelsea
  • Sunderland 3–2 Chelsea