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Rio Ave vs Braga: Primeira Liga, Nov 8, 2026

Primeira Liga
HomeRio Ave5110OVR
Kick-off 2:30 PM CT
AwayBraga6513OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 2:30 PM CT · Estádio do Rio Ave, Vila do Conde, Portugal

Team comparison

Ratings

5110OVRHome

Rio Ave

ATT
5211
DEF
469
FRM
5812
ELO
4810
  • 5211Attack6112
  • 469Defence7114
  • 5812Form5812
  • 4810Elo strength6914
  • 5110Overall6513
ATTDEFFRMELO
Rio Ave Braga
6513OVRAway

Braga

ATT
6112
DEF
7114
FRM
5812
ELO
6914

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Rio Ave (15th, 7 pts from 10) host Braga (8th, 14 pts from 10) in the Primeira Liga table as it stands. Rio Ave have scored 9 and conceded 23 in 10 Primeira Liga games (0.9 and 2.3 per game). Braga have scored 12 and conceded 11 in 10 Primeira Liga games (1.2 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Rio Ave LWWLL, Braga LLWLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Rio Ave won 1, Braga won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.8–2.0. Braga are clear favorites: Rio Ave 15%, draw 21%, Braga 64%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Rio Ave 1392, Braga 1580) give Rio Ave an expected score of 32%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Rio Ave winDrawBraga win

Expected goals (model): Rio Ave 0.83 · Braga 1.98 · most likely score 0–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.29 / away 1.39 goals per game from 90 Primeira Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Rio Ave expected score 32%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Rio AveBraga
15thTable position8th
7 (10)Points (played)14 (10)
2-1-7W-D-L4-2-4
0.90Goals for / game*1.20
2.30Goals against / game*1.10
LWWLLForm, last 5 (all comps)LLWLW
1392Elo rating (pre-match)1580
0.75 / 1.55Attack / defence index0.92 / 0.86

Table: current Primeira Liga standings. *Primeira Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Rio Ave 1 win · 2 draws · Braga 2 wins

  • Braga 3–0 Rio Ave
  • Rio Ave 2–2 Braga
  • Rio Ave 2–1 Braga
  • Braga 4–0 Rio Ave
  • Rio Ave 0–0 Braga