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Stade Rennais vs Lille: Ligue 1, Nov 8, 2026

Ligue 1
HomeStade Rennais6613OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayLille7014OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Roazhon Park, Rennes, France

Team comparison

Ratings

6613OVRHome

Stade Rennais

ATT
7816
DEF
5411
FRM
6213
ELO
6914
  • 7816Attack6112
  • 5411Defence8918
  • 6213Form5812
  • 6914Elo strength6914
  • 6613Overall7014
ATTDEFFRMELO
Rennes Lille
7014OVRAway

Lille

ATT
6112
DEF
8918
FRM
5812
ELO
6914

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Rennes (5th, 16 pts from 9) host Lille (2nd, 18 pts from 9) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Rennes have scored 20 and conceded 19 in 9 Ligue 1 games (2.2 and 2.1 per game). Lille have scored 12 and conceded 6 in 9 Ligue 1 games (1.3 and 0.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Rennes WLDWL, Lille DLDWD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Rennes won 1, Lille won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.3–1.6. Lille are slight favorites: Rennes 32%, draw 25%, Lille 43%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Rennes 1582, Lille 1577) give Rennes an expected score of 59%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Rennes winDrawLille win

Expected goals (model): Rennes 1.33 · Lille 1.57 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.70 / away 1.33 goals per game from 81 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Rennes expected score 59%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

RennesLille
5thTable position2nd
16 (9)Points (played)18 (9)
5-1-3W-D-L5-3-1
2.22Goals for / game*1.33
2.11Goals against / game*0.67
WLDWLForm, last 5 (all comps)DLDWD
1582Elo rating (pre-match)1577
1.35 / 1.29Attack / defence index0.91 / 0.58

Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Rennes 1 win · 1 draw · Lille 3 wins

  • Stade Rennais 1–2 Lille
  • Lille 0–2 Stade Rennais
  • Stade Rennais 0–2 Lille
  • Lille 1–0 Stade Rennais
  • Lille 2–2 Stade Rennais