The Coefficient5311OVRHome
Monza
- ATT
- 6714
- DEF
- 5110
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 449
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Monza vs Atalanta: Serie A, Nov 8, 2026
Serie AHomeMonza5311OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayAtalanta5712OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · U-Power Stadium, Monza, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6714Attack6513
- 5110Defence5712
- 449Form398
- 449Elo strength6313
- 5311Overall5712
5712OVRAway
Atalanta
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 5712
- FRM
- 398
- ELO
- 6313
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Monza (18th, 7 pts from 10) host Atalanta (13th, 11 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Monza have scored 17 and conceded 24 in 10 Serie A games (1.7 and 2.4 per game). Atalanta have scored 16 and conceded 20 in 10 Serie A games (1.6 and 2.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Monza LWLLL, Atalanta LLDDL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Monza won 0, Atalanta won 5 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.0–2.2. This looks evenly matched: Monza 37%, draw 20%, Atalanta 43%. The single most likely score is 2–2, but even that only has a 7% chance. Elo ratings (Monza 1352, Atalanta 1528) give Monza an expected score of 34%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Monza 2.04 · Atalanta 2.18 · most likely score 2–2 (7%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.56 goals per game from 100 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Monza expected score 34%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Monza | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Table position | 13th |
| 7 (10) | Points (played) | 11 (10) |
| 2-1-7 | W-D-L | 3-2-5 |
| 1.70 | Goals for / game* | 1.60 |
| 2.40 | Goals against / game* | 2.00 |
| LWLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLDDL |
| 1352 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1528 |
| 1.05 / 1.39 | Attack / defence index | 1.00 / 1.20 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Monza 0 wins · 0 draws · Atalanta 5 wins
- Monza 0–4 Atalanta
- Atalanta 2–0 Monza
- Monza 1–2 Atalanta
- Atalanta 3–0 Monza
- Atalanta 5–2 Monza