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Le Havre AC vs Lorient: Ligue 1, Nov 8, 2026

Ligue 1
HomeLe Havre AC5010OVR
Kick-off 10:15 AM CT
AwayLorient6513OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 10:15 AM CT · Stade Océane, Le Havre, France

Team comparison

Ratings

5010OVRHome

Le Havre AC

ATT
5211
DEF
5211
FRM
449
ELO
4910
  • 5211Attack459
  • 5211Defence8116
  • 449Form7615
  • 4910Elo strength6012
  • 5010Overall6513
ATTDEFFRMELO
Le Havre AC Lorient
6513OVRAway

Lorient

ATT
459
DEF
8116
FRM
7615
ELO
6012

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Le Havre AC (18th, 2 pts from 9) host Lorient (11th, 12 pts from 9) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Le Havre AC have scored 9 and conceded 20 in 9 Ligue 1 games (1.0 and 2.2 per game). Lorient have scored 7 and conceded 8 in 9 Ligue 1 games (0.8 and 0.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Le Havre AC WLLLL, Lorient WWWDL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Le Havre AC won 2, Lorient won 0 and 3 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.1. Lorient are slight favorites: Le Havre AC 28%, draw 30%, Lorient 42%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Le Havre AC 1401, Lorient 1504) give Le Havre AC an expected score of 44%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Le Havre AC winDrawLorient win

Expected goals (model): Le Havre AC 0.87 · Lorient 1.14 · most likely score 0–1 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.70 / away 1.33 goals per game from 81 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Le Havre AC expected score 44%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Le Havre ACLorient
18thTable position11th
2 (9)Points (played)12 (9)
0-2-7W-D-L3-3-3
1.00Goals for / game*0.78
2.22Goals against / game*0.89
WLLLLForm, last 5 (all comps)WWWDL
1401Elo rating (pre-match)1504
0.74 / 1.35Attack / defence index0.63 / 0.69

Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Le Havre AC 2 wins · 3 draws · Lorient 0 wins

  • Lorient 0–2 Le Havre AC
  • Le Havre AC 1–1 Lorient
  • Lorient 3–3 Le Havre AC
  • Le Havre AC 3–0 Lorient
  • Le Havre AC 2–2 Lorient