The Coefficient5611OVRHome
Fiorentina
- ATT
- 6313
- DEF
- 5211
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 6012
← Match Center
Fiorentina vs Juventus: Serie A, Nov 8, 2026
Serie AHomeFiorentina5611OVR
Kick-off 1:45 PM CT
AwayJuventus6914OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 1:45 PM CT · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6313Attack5812
- 5211Defence8016
- 4810Form6213
- 6012Elo strength7415
- 5611Overall6914
6914OVRAway
Juventus
- ATT
- 5812
- DEF
- 8016
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 7415
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Fiorentina (16th, 8 pts from 10) host Juventus (7th, 17 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Fiorentina have scored 15 and conceded 23 in 10 Serie A games (1.5 and 2.3 per game). Juventus have scored 13 and conceded 10 in 10 Serie A games (1.3 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Fiorentina LLLDW, Juventus LDWLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Fiorentina won 2, Juventus won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–1.8. Juventus are clear favorites: Fiorentina 23%, draw 23%, Juventus 54%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Fiorentina 1498, Juventus 1630) give Fiorentina an expected score of 40%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Fiorentina 1.11 · Juventus 1.80 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.56 goals per game from 100 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Fiorentina expected score 40%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Fiorentina | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Table position | 7th |
| 8 (10) | Points (played) | 17 (10) |
| 2-2-6 | W-D-L | 5-2-3 |
| 1.50 | Goals for / game* | 1.30 |
| 2.30 | Goals against / game* | 1.00 |
| LLLDW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LDWLW |
| 1498 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1630 |
| 0.96 / 1.34 | Attack / defence index | 0.86 / 0.71 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Fiorentina 2 wins · 2 draws · Juventus 1 win
- Juventus 0–2 Fiorentina
- Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus
- Fiorentina 3–0 Juventus
- Juventus 2–2 Fiorentina
- Juventus 1–0 Fiorentina