Elche
- ATT
- 5912
- DEF
- 6213
- FRM
- 6714
- ELO
- 5812
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Estadio Martínez Valero, Elche, Spain
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Elche (17th, 10 pts from 11) host Betis (4th, 23 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Elche have scored 14 and conceded 18 in 11 La Liga games (1.3 and 1.6 per game). Betis have scored 18 and conceded 15 in 11 La Liga games (1.6 and 1.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Elche DDWWL, Betis WLWDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Elche won 0, Betis won 4 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.4–1.5. This looks evenly matched: Elche 35%, draw 25%, Betis 40%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Elche 1480, Betis 1638) give Elche an expected score of 36%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Elche 1.39 · Betis 1.49 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.71 / away 1.30 goals per game from 109 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Elche expected score 36%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Elche | Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Table position | 4th |
| 10 (11) | Points (played) | 23 (11) |
| 2-4-5 | W-D-L | 7-2-2 |
| 1.27 | Goals for / game* | 1.64 |
| 1.64 | Goals against / game* | 1.36 |
| DDWWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLWDW |
| 1480 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1638 |
| 0.88 / 1.07 | Attack / defence index | 1.07 / 0.93 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Elche 0 wins · 1 draw · Betis 4 wins