The Coefficient6413OVRHome
Celta Vigo
- ATT
- 4910
- DEF
- 8116
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 6112
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Celta Vigo vs Levante: La Liga, Nov 8, 2026
La LigaHomeCelta Vigo6413OVR
Kick-off 11:30 AM CT
AwayLevante5812OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 11:30 AM CT · Balaidos, Vigo, Spain
Team comparison
Ratings
- 4910Attack6413
- 8116Defence5712
- 6213Form5311
- 6112Elo strength5712
- 6413Overall5812
5812OVRAway
Levante
- ATT
- 6413
- DEF
- 5712
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5712
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Celta Vigo (10th, 12 pts from 11) host Levante (18th, 10 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Celta Vigo have scored 10 and conceded 10 in 11 La Liga games (0.9 and 0.9 per game). Levante have scored 16 and conceded 21 in 11 La Liga games (1.5 and 1.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Celta Vigo LWWDL, Levante DDWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Celta Vigo won 3, Levante won 1 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.4–0.9. Celta Vigo are clear favorites: Celta Vigo 50%, draw 27%, Levante 23%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Celta Vigo 1510, Levante 1471) give Celta Vigo an expected score of 64%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Celta Vigo 1.42 · Levante 0.87 · most likely score 1–0 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.71 / away 1.30 goals per game from 109 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Celta Vigo expected score 64%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Celta Vigo | Levante | |
|---|---|---|
| 10th | Table position | 18th |
| 12 (11) | Points (played) | 10 (11) |
| 2-6-3 | W-D-L | 2-4-5 |
| 0.91 | Goals for / game* | 1.45 |
| 0.91 | Goals against / game* | 1.91 |
| LWWDL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DDWLL |
| 1510 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1471 |
| 0.69 / 0.69 | Attack / defence index | 0.97 / 1.21 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Celta Vigo 3 wins · 1 draw · Levante 1 win
- Celta Vigo 2–3 Levante
- Levante 1–2 Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo 1–1 Levante
- Levante 0–2 Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo 2–0 Levante