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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford: Premier League, Nov 8, 2026

Premier League
HomeBrighton & Hove Albion7916OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayBrentford6914OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · American Express Stadium, Falmer, England

Team comparison

Ratings

7916OVRHome

Brighton & Hove Albion

ATT
8918
DEF
8217
FRM
6213
ELO
7716
  • 8918Attack7415
  • 8217Defence7415
  • 6213Form5311
  • 7716Elo strength7014
  • 7916Overall6914
ATTDEFFRMELO
Brighton Brentford
6914OVRAway

Brentford

ATT
7415
DEF
7415
FRM
5311
ELO
7014

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Brighton (3rd, 19 pts from 9) host Brentford (6th, 14 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Brighton have scored 24 and conceded 7 in 9 Premier League games (2.7 and 0.8 per game). Brentford have scored 16 and conceded 9 in 9 Premier League games (1.8 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Brighton WDLLW, Brentford DLDLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Brighton won 2, Brentford won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.1–1.0. Brighton are clear favorites: Brighton 62%, draw 20%, Brentford 17%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Brighton 1652, Brentford 1588) give Brighton an expected score of 67%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Brighton winDrawBrentford win

Expected goals (model): Brighton 2.09 · Brentford 1.01 · most likely score 2–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.50 / away 1.20 goals per game from 90 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Brighton expected score 67%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

BrightonBrentford
3rdTable position6th
19 (9)Points (played)14 (9)
6-1-2W-D-L3-5-1
2.67Goals for / game*1.78
0.78Goals against / game*1.00
WDLLWForm, last 5 (all comps)DLDLW
1652Elo rating (pre-match)1588
1.73 / 0.68Attack / defence index1.24 / 0.81

Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Brighton 2 wins · 2 draws · Brentford 1 win

  • Brentford 0–2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Brighton & Hove Albion 2–1 Brentford
  • Brentford 4–2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Brighton & Hove Albion 0–0 Brentford
  • Brentford 0–0 Brighton & Hove Albion