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Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona: La Liga, Nov 8, 2026

La Liga
HomeAtlético Madrid8016OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayBarcelona8617OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Team comparison

Ratings

8016OVRHome

Atlético Madrid

ATT
7515
DEF
8818
FRM
7615
ELO
7816
  • 7515Attack9920
  • 8818Defence7615
  • 7615Form7114
  • 7816Elo strength9619
  • 8016Overall8617
ATTDEFFRMELO
Atlético Barcelona
8617OVRAway

Barcelona

ATT
9920
DEF
7615
FRM
7114
ELO
9619

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Atlético (2nd, 28 pts from 11) host Barcelona (1st, 30 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Atlético have scored 22 and conceded 8 in 11 La Liga games (2.0 and 0.7 per game). Barcelona have scored 46 and conceded 12 in 11 La Liga games (4.2 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Atlético WDWWL, Barcelona WLLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Atlético won 2, Barcelona won 3 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.7–1.9. This looks evenly matched: Atlético 35%, draw 22%, Barcelona 42%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Atlético 1663, Barcelona 1820) give Atlético an expected score of 36%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Atlético winDrawBarcelona win

Expected goals (model): Atlético 1.68 · Barcelona 1.86 · most likely score 1–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.71 / away 1.30 goals per game from 109 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Atlético expected score 36%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

AtléticoBarcelona
2ndTable position1st
28 (11)Points (played)30 (11)
9-1-1W-D-L10-0-1
2.00Goals for / game*4.18
0.73Goals against / game*1.09
WDWWLForm, last 5 (all comps)WLLWW
1663Elo rating (pre-match)1820
1.26 / 0.59Attack / defence index2.40 / 0.78

Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Atlético 2 wins · 0 draws · Barcelona 3 wins

  • Atlético Madrid 1–2 Barcelona
  • Barcelona 0–2 Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 1–2 Barcelona
  • Barcelona 3–0 Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 4–0 Barcelona