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Torino vs Lecce: Serie A, Nov 7, 2026

Serie A
HomeTorino6313OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayLecce5110OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Italy

Team comparison

Ratings

6313OVRHome

Torino

ATT
6112
DEF
6513
FRM
7114
ELO
5712
  • 6112Attack5311
  • 6513Defence5511
  • 7114Form449
  • 5712Elo strength5010
  • 6313Overall5110
ATTDEFFRMELO
Torino Lecce
5110OVRAway

Lecce

ATT
5311
DEF
5511
FRM
449
ELO
5010

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Torino (10th, 13 pts from 10) host Lecce (14th, 9 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Torino have scored 14 and conceded 16 in 10 Serie A games (1.4 and 1.6 per game). Lecce have scored 11 and conceded 21 in 10 Serie A games (1.1 and 2.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Torino WWWLL, Lecce LWLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Torino won 2, Lecce won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.8–1.2. Torino are clear favorites: Torino 52%, draw 23%, Lecce 25%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Torino 1472, Lecce 1410) give Torino an expected score of 67%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Torino winDrawLecce win

Expected goals (model): Torino 1.83 · Lecce 1.20 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.56 goals per game from 100 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Torino expected score 67%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

TorinoLecce
10thTable position14th
13 (10)Points (played)9 (10)
4-1-5W-D-L3-0-7
1.40Goals for / game*1.10
1.60Goals against / game*2.10
WWWLLForm, last 5 (all comps)LWLLL
1472Elo rating (pre-match)1410
0.91 / 1.00Attack / defence index0.76 / 1.25

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Torino 2 wins · 1 draw · Lecce 2 wins

  • Torino 1–0 Lecce
  • Lecce 2–1 Torino
  • Lecce 1–0 Torino
  • Torino 0–0 Lecce
  • Torino 2–0 Lecce