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Sporting CP vs Moreirense: Primeira Liga, Nov 7, 2026

Primeira Liga
HomeSporting CP7816OVR
Kick-off 2:30 PM CT
AwayMoreirense6012OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 2:30 PM CT · Estådio José Alvalade, Lisbon, Portugal

Team comparison

Ratings

7816OVRHome

Sporting CP

ATT
8417
DEF
7114
FRM
7114
ELO
8718
  • 8417Attack6413
  • 7114Defence5712
  • 7114Form6213
  • 8718Elo strength5611
  • 7816Overall6012
ATTDEFFRMELO
Sporting Moreirense
6012OVRAway

Moreirense

ATT
6413
DEF
5712
FRM
6213
ELO
5611

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Sporting (3rd, 21 pts from 10) host Moreirense (9th, 14 pts from 10) in the Primeira Liga table as it stands. Sporting have scored 23 and conceded 11 in 10 Primeira Liga games (2.3 and 1.1 per game). Moreirense have scored 13 and conceded 17 in 10 Primeira Liga games (1.3 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Sporting WLLWW, Moreirense DLLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Sporting won 4, Moreirense won 1 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.4–1.2. Sporting are clear favorites: Sporting 65%, draw 18%, Moreirense 17%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Sporting 1741, Moreirense 1465) give Sporting an expected score of 87%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Sporting winDrawMoreirense win

Expected goals (model): Sporting 2.42 · Moreirense 1.17 · most likely score 2–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.29 / away 1.39 goals per game from 90 Primeira Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Sporting expected score 87%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

SportingMoreirense
3rdTable position9th
21 (10)Points (played)14 (10)
6-3-1W-D-L4-2-4
2.30Goals for / game*1.30
1.10Goals against / game*1.70
WLLWWForm, last 5 (all comps)DLLWW
1741Elo rating (pre-match)1465
1.55 / 0.86Attack / defence index0.98 / 1.21

Table: current Primeira Liga standings. *Primeira Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Sporting 4 wins · 0 draws · Moreirense 1 win

  • Moreirense 0–3 Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP 3–0 Moreirense
  • Sporting CP 3–1 Moreirense
  • Moreirense 2–1 Sporting CP
  • Moreirense 0–2 Sporting CP