The Coefficient479OVRHome
Samsunspor
- ATT
- 5211
- DEF
- 469
- FRM
- 306
- ELO
- 5611
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Samsunspor vs Konyaspor: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 7, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeSamsunspor479OVR
Kick-off 7:00 AM CT
AwayKonyaspor5411OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium, Samsun, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5211Attack388
- 469Defence7014
- 306Form5311
- 5611Elo strength5511
- 479Overall5411
5411OVRAway
Konyaspor
- ATT
- 388
- DEF
- 7014
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5511
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Samsunspor (17th, 4 pts from 10) host Konyaspor (15th, 8 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Samsunspor have scored 10 and conceded 26 in 10 Süper Lig games (1.0 and 2.6 per game). Konyaspor have scored 6 and conceded 13 in 10 Süper Lig games (0.6 and 1.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Samsunspor LLLLL, Konyaspor DDLWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Samsunspor won 2, Konyaspor won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.1. This looks evenly matched: Samsunspor 38%, draw 29%, Konyaspor 33%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Samsunspor 1460, Konyaspor 1457) give Samsunspor an expected score of 59%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Samsunspor 1.16 · Konyaspor 1.07 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.73 / away 1.27 goals per game from 90 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Samsunspor expected score 59%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Samsunspor | Konyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Table position | 15th |
| 4 (10) | Points (played) | 8 (10) |
| 1-1-8 | W-D-L | 2-2-6 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 0.60 |
| 2.60 | Goals against / game* | 1.30 |
| LLLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DDLWL |
| 1460 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1457 |
| 0.74 / 1.56 | Attack / defence index | 0.54 / 0.90 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Samsunspor 2 wins · 1 draw · Konyaspor 2 wins
- Samsunspor 2–2 Konyaspor
- Konyaspor 1–3 Samsunspor
- Konyaspor 0–1 Samsunspor
- Samsunspor 0–1 Konyaspor
- Konyaspor 3–0 Samsunspor