The Coefficient5411OVRHome
Osasuna
- ATT
- 5211
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 5812
- ELO
- 5311
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Osasuna vs Athletic Club: La Liga, Nov 7, 2026
La LigaHomeOsasuna5411OVR
Kick-off 11:30 AM CT
AwayAthletic Club7014OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:30 AM CT · El Sadar, Pamplona, Spain
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5211Attack6313
- 5511Defence7816
- 5812Form7615
- 5311Elo strength6012
- 5411Overall7014
7014OVRAway
Athletic Club
- ATT
- 6313
- DEF
- 7816
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 6012
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Osasuna (15th, 11 pts from 11) host Athletic (7th, 15 pts from 10) in the La Liga table as it stands. Osasuna have scored 11 and conceded 22 in 11 La Liga games (1.0 and 2.0 per game). Athletic have scored 14 and conceded 10 in 10 La Liga games (1.4 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Osasuna LWLWL, Athletic DLWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Osasuna won 1, Athletic won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.6. Athletic are clear favorites: Osasuna 23%, draw 26%, Athletic 52%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Osasuna 1436, Athletic 1499) give Osasuna an expected score of 50%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Osasuna 0.93 · Athletic 1.55 · most likely score 0–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.71 / away 1.30 goals per game from 109 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Osasuna expected score 50%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Osasuna | Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Table position | 7th |
| 11 (11) | Points (played) | 15 (10) |
| 3-2-6 | W-D-L | 4-3-3 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 1.40 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.00 |
| LWLWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DLWWW |
| 1436 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1499 |
| 0.74 / 1.26 | Attack / defence index | 0.95 / 0.74 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Osasuna 1 win · 2 draws · Athletic 2 wins
- Athletic Club 1–0 Osasuna
- Osasuna 1–1 Athletic Club
- Athletic Club 0–0 Osasuna
- Athletic Club 2–3 Osasuna
- Osasuna 1–2 Athletic Club