The Coefficient5110OVRHome
C.D. Nacional
- ATT
- 5611
- DEF
- 5311
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 4810
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C.D. Nacional vs Académico de Viseu: Primeira Liga, Nov 7, 2026
Primeira LigaHomeC.D. Nacional5110OVR
Kick-off 9:30 AM CT
AwayAcadémico de Viseu7114OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:30 AM CT · Estádio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5611Attack6914
- 5311Defence6914
- 449Form8517
- 4810Elo strength6513
- 5110Overall7114
7114OVRAway
Académico de Viseu
- ATT
- 6914
- DEF
- 6914
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 6513
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Nacional (16th, 7 pts from 10) host Académico (6th, 20 pts from 10) in the Primeira Liga table as it stands. Nacional have scored 10 and conceded 19 in 10 Primeira Liga games (1.0 and 1.9 per game). Académico have scored 15 and conceded 12 in 10 Primeira Liga games (1.5 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Nacional LLLWL, Académico WWLWW. The goals model expects about 1.0–2.0. Académico are clear favorites: Nacional 17%, draw 21%, Académico 62%. The single most likely score is 0–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Nacional 1396, Académico 1547) give Nacional an expected score of 37%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Nacional 0.96 · Académico 2.01 · most likely score 0–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.29 / away 1.39 goals per game from 90 Primeira Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Nacional expected score 37%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Nacional | Académico | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Table position | 6th |
| 7 (10) | Points (played) | 20 (10) |
| 2-1-7 | W-D-L | 6-2-2 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 1.50 |
| 1.90 | Goals against / game* | 1.20 |
| LLLWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWLWW |
| 1396 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1547 |
| 0.81 / 1.32 | Attack / defence index | 1.09 / 0.92 |
Table: current Primeira Liga standings. *Primeira Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.