The Coefficient5110OVRHome
Málaga
- ATT
- 428
- DEF
- 5712
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5311
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Málaga vs Racing Santander: La Liga, Nov 7, 2026
La LigaHomeMálaga5110OVR
Kick-off 7:00 AM CT
AwayRacing Santander5611OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · La Rosaleda, Malaga, Spain
Team comparison
Ratings
- 428Attack6213
- 5712Defence459
- 5311Form6213
- 5311Elo strength5611
- 5110Overall5611
5611OVRAway
Racing Santander
- ATT
- 6213
- DEF
- 459
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 5611
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Málaga (20th, 5 pts from 11) host Racing (16th, 11 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Málaga have scored 8 and conceded 21 in 11 La Liga games (0.7 and 1.9 per game). Racing have scored 15 and conceded 29 in 11 La Liga games (1.4 and 2.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Málaga DLDWL, Racing DLWWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Málaga won 0, Racing won 3 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.6–1.5. This looks evenly matched: Málaga 41%, draw 24%, Racing 35%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Málaga 1440, Racing 1465) give Málaga an expected score of 55%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Málaga 1.61 · Racing 1.46 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.71 / away 1.30 goals per game from 109 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Málaga expected score 55%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Málaga | Racing | |
|---|---|---|
| 20th | Table position | 16th |
| 5 (11) | Points (played) | 11 (11) |
| 0-5-6 | W-D-L | 3-2-6 |
| 0.73 | Goals for / game* | 1.36 |
| 1.91 | Goals against / game* | 2.64 |
| DLDWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DLWWL |
| 1440 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1465 |
| 0.59 / 1.21 | Attack / defence index | 0.93 / 1.59 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Málaga 0 wins · 2 draws · Racing 3 wins
- Málaga 1–1 Racing Santander
- Racing Santander 3–0 Málaga
- Racing Santander 2–1 Málaga
- Málaga 0–0 Racing Santander
- Málaga 0–1 Racing Santander