The Coefficient5211OVRHome
Cagliari
- ATT
- 479
- DEF
- 6714
- FRM
- 357
- ELO
- 5411
← Match Center
Cagliari vs Frosinone: Serie A, Nov 7, 2026
Serie AHomeCagliari5211OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayFrosinone7315OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 479Attack7916
- 6714Defence6914
- 357Form7615
- 5411Elo strength6714
- 5211Overall7315
7315OVRAway
Frosinone
- ATT
- 7916
- DEF
- 6914
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 6714
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Cagliari (12th, 13 pts from 10) host Frosinone (6th, 20 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Cagliari have scored 9 and conceded 15 in 10 Serie A games (0.9 and 1.5 per game). Frosinone have scored 24 and conceded 14 in 10 Serie A games (2.4 and 1.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Cagliari DLLLL, Frosinone LWDWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Cagliari won 2, Frosinone won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.0–2.1. Frosinone are clear favorites: Cagliari 17%, draw 20%, Frosinone 63%. The single most likely score is 0–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Cagliari 1449, Frosinone 1561) give Cagliari an expected score of 43%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Cagliari 0.98 · Frosinone 2.08 · most likely score 0–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.56 goals per game from 100 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Cagliari expected score 43%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Table position | 6th |
| 13 (10) | Points (played) | 20 (10) |
| 4-1-5 | W-D-L | 6-2-2 |
| 0.90 | Goals for / game* | 2.40 |
| 1.50 | Goals against / game* | 1.40 |
| DLLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LWDWW |
| 1449 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1561 |
| 0.67 / 0.96 | Attack / defence index | 1.39 / 0.91 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Cagliari 2 wins · 2 draws · Frosinone 1 win
- Cagliari 4–1 Frosinone
- Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari
- Cagliari 4–3 Frosinone
- Cagliari 0–0 Frosinone
- Frosinone 2–2 Cagliari