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AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC: Ligue 1, Nov 7, 2026

Ligue 1
HomeAJ Auxerre5611OVR
Kick-off 12:00 PM CT
AwayParis FC6914OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre, France

Team comparison

Ratings

5611OVRHome

AJ Auxerre

ATT
6313
DEF
479
FRM
6213
ELO
5511
  • 6313Attack7014
  • 479Defence7515
  • 6213Form5812
  • 5511Elo strength6814
  • 5611Overall6914
ATTDEFFRMELO
Auxerre Paris FC
6914OVRAway

Paris FC

ATT
7014
DEF
7515
FRM
5812
ELO
6814

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Auxerre (14th, 10 pts from 9) host Paris FC (4th, 17 pts from 9) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Auxerre have scored 13 and conceded 23 in 9 Ligue 1 games (1.4 and 2.6 per game). Paris FC have scored 16 and conceded 10 in 9 Ligue 1 games (1.8 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Auxerre WLWDL, Paris FC LLWLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Auxerre won 2, Paris FC won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.3–2.3. Paris FC are clear favorites: Auxerre 21%, draw 20%, Paris FC 59%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Auxerre 1458, Paris FC 1568) give Auxerre an expected score of 43%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Auxerre winDrawParis FC win

Expected goals (model): Auxerre 1.31 · Paris FC 2.27 · most likely score 1–2 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.70 / away 1.33 goals per game from 81 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Auxerre expected score 43%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

AuxerreParis FC
14thTable position4th
10 (9)Points (played)17 (9)
3-1-5W-D-L5-2-2
1.44Goals for / game*1.78
2.56Goals against / game*1.11
WLWDLForm, last 5 (all comps)LLWLW
1458Elo rating (pre-match)1568
0.96 / 1.51Attack / defence index1.13 / 0.80

Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Auxerre 2 wins · 2 draws · Paris FC 1 win

  • AJ Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC
  • Paris FC 1–1 AJ Auxerre
  • AJ Auxerre 2–0 Paris FC
  • Paris FC 0–2 AJ Auxerre
  • AJ Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC