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AS Roma vs Sassuolo: Serie A, Nov 7, 2026

Serie A
HomeAS Roma8116OVR
Kick-off 1:45 PM CT
AwaySassuolo5211OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 1:45 PM CT · Olimpico, Roma, Italy

Team comparison

Ratings

8116OVRHome

AS Roma

ATT
8517
DEF
8016
FRM
7615
ELO
8217
  • 8517Attack6513
  • 8016Defence4810
  • 7615Form357
  • 8217Elo strength5511
  • 8116Overall5211
ATTDEFFRMELO
AS Roma Sassuolo
5211OVRAway

Sassuolo

ATT
6513
DEF
4810
FRM
357
ELO
5511

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

AS Roma (3rd, 24 pts from 10) host Sassuolo (17th, 8 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. AS Roma have scored 28 and conceded 10 in 10 Serie A games (2.8 and 1.0 per game). Sassuolo have scored 16 and conceded 26 in 10 Serie A games (1.6 and 2.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): AS Roma WDWWL, Sassuolo DLLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, AS Roma won 4, Sassuolo won 1 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 3.8–1.1. AS Roma are clear favorites: AS Roma 84%, draw 9%, Sassuolo 6%. The single most likely score is 3–1, but even that only has a 7% chance. Elo ratings (AS Roma 1696, Sassuolo 1453) give AS Roma an expected score of 85%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

AS Roma winDrawSassuolo win

Expected goals (model): AS Roma 3.82 · Sassuolo 1.12 · most likely score 3–1 (7%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.56 goals per game from 100 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: AS Roma expected score 85%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

AS RomaSassuolo
3rdTable position17th
24 (10)Points (played)8 (10)
7-3-0W-D-L2-2-6
2.80Goals for / game*1.60
1.00Goals against / game*2.60
WDWWLForm, last 5 (all comps)DLLLL
1696Elo rating (pre-match)1453
1.59 / 0.71Attack / defence index1.00 / 1.49

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

AS Roma 4 wins · 0 draws · Sassuolo 1 win

  • AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 0–1 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 1–0 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 1–2 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 3–4 Sassuolo