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ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: Eredivisie, Nov 7, 2026

Eredivisie
HomeADO Den Haag5311OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwaySparta Rotterdam6012OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · ADO Den Haag Stadium, Den Haag, Netherlands

Team comparison

Ratings

5311OVRHome

ADO Den Haag

ATT
5010
DEF
6012
FRM
4810
ELO
5311
  • 5010Attack6313
  • 6012Defence5812
  • 4810Form6213
  • 5311Elo strength5411
  • 5311Overall6012
ATTDEFFRMELO
ADO Den Haag Sparta
6012OVRAway

Sparta Rotterdam

ATT
6313
DEF
5812
FRM
6213
ELO
5411

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

ADO Den Haag (17th, 6 pts from 11) host Sparta (11th, 12 pts from 11) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. ADO Den Haag have scored 13 and conceded 24 in 11 Eredivisie games (1.2 and 2.2 per game). Sparta have scored 20 and conceded 26 in 11 Eredivisie games (1.8 and 2.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): ADO Den Haag DWLLL, Sparta DWLLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, ADO Den Haag won 1, Sparta won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.5–2.2. Sparta are clear favorites: ADO Den Haag 27%, draw 21%, Sparta 52%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (ADO Den Haag 1440, Sparta 1442) give ADO Den Haag an expected score of 58%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

ADO Den Haag winDrawSparta win

Expected goals (model): ADO Den Haag 1.50 · Sparta 2.15 · most likely score 1–2 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 2.01 goals per game from 99 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: ADO Den Haag expected score 58%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

ADO Den HaagSparta
17thTable position11th
6 (11)Points (played)12 (11)
1-3-7W-D-L3-3-5
1.18Goals for / game*1.82
2.18Goals against / game*2.36
DWLLLForm, last 5 (all comps)DWLLW
1440Elo rating (pre-match)1442
0.70 / 1.11Attack / defence index0.96 / 1.19

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

ADO Den Haag 1 win · 2 draws · Sparta 2 wins

  • ADO Den Haag 2–0 Sparta Rotterdam
  • ADO Den Haag 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • Sparta Rotterdam 6–0 ADO Den Haag
  • ADO Den Haag 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 ADO Den Haag