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Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: Eredivisie, Nov 6, 2026

Eredivisie
HomeWillem II428OVR
Kick-off 1:00 PM CT
AwayPEC Zwolle5511OVR

Friday, November 6, 2026 · 1:00 PM CT · Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg, Netherlands

Team comparison

Ratings

428OVRHome

Willem II

ATT
428
DEF
439
FRM
449
ELO
388
  • 428Attack479
  • 439Defence6213
  • 449Form6213
  • 388Elo strength5110
  • 428Overall5511
ATTDEFFRMELO
Willem II PEC Zwolle
5511OVRAway

PEC Zwolle

ATT
479
DEF
6213
FRM
6213
ELO
5110

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Willem II (18th, 2 pts from 11) host PEC Zwolle (14th, 11 pts from 11) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. Willem II have scored 10 and conceded 39 in 11 Eredivisie games (0.9 and 3.5 per game). PEC Zwolle have scored 12 and conceded 23 in 11 Eredivisie games (1.1 and 2.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Willem II LLLWL, PEC Zwolle LWDLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Willem II won 1, PEC Zwolle won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–2.2. PEC Zwolle are clear favorites: Willem II 18%, draw 20%, PEC Zwolle 62%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Willem II 1300, PEC Zwolle 1423) give Willem II an expected score of 41%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Willem II winDrawPEC Zwolle win

Expected goals (model): Willem II 1.14 · PEC Zwolle 2.23 · most likely score 1–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 2.01 goals per game from 99 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Willem II expected score 41%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Willem IIPEC Zwolle
18thTable position14th
2 (11)Points (played)11 (11)
0-2-9W-D-L3-2-6
0.91Goals for / game*1.09
3.55Goals against / game*2.09
LLLWLForm, last 5 (all comps)LWDLW
1300Elo rating (pre-match)1423
0.59 / 1.67Attack / defence index0.66 / 1.07

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Willem II 1 win · 1 draw · PEC Zwolle 3 wins

  • Willem II 1–2 PEC Zwolle
  • PEC Zwolle 0–1 Willem II
  • Willem II 2–3 PEC Zwolle
  • PEC Zwolle 2–2 Willem II
  • PEC Zwolle 2–0 Willem II