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Gaziantep FK vs Kasimpasa: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 6, 2026

Turkish Süper Lig
HomeGaziantep FK4910OVR
Kick-off 11:00 AM CT
AwayKasimpasa6914OVR

Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 AM CT · Gaziantep Stadium, Gaziantep, Türkiye

Team comparison

Ratings

4910OVRHome

Gaziantep FK

ATT
4910
DEF
6112
FRM
306
ELO
5010
  • 4910Attack6513
  • 6112Defence7515
  • 306Form7615
  • 5010Elo strength6012
  • 4910Overall6914
ATTDEFFRMELO
Gaziantep Kasimpasa
6914OVRAway

Kasimpasa

ATT
6513
DEF
7515
FRM
7615
ELO
6012

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Gaziantep (16th, 8 pts from 10) host Kasimpasa (5th, 17 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Gaziantep have scored 9 and conceded 17 in 10 Süper Lig games (0.9 and 1.7 per game). Kasimpasa have scored 15 and conceded 11 in 10 Süper Lig games (1.5 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Gaziantep LLLLL, Kasimpasa WLWWD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Gaziantep won 3, Kasimpasa won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.0–1.4. Kasimpasa are clear favorites: Gaziantep 26%, draw 27%, Kasimpasa 47%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Gaziantep 1407, Kasimpasa 1504) give Gaziantep an expected score of 45%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Gaziantep winDrawKasimpasa win

Expected goals (model): Gaziantep 0.95 · Kasimpasa 1.40 · most likely score 0–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.73 / away 1.27 goals per game from 90 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Gaziantep expected score 45%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

GaziantepKasimpasa
16thTable position5th
8 (10)Points (played)17 (10)
2-2-6W-D-L4-5-1
0.90Goals for / game*1.50
1.70Goals against / game*1.10
LLLLLForm, last 5 (all comps)WLWWD
1407Elo rating (pre-match)1504
0.69 / 1.10Attack / defence index1.00 / 0.79

Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Gaziantep 3 wins · 2 draws · Kasimpasa 0 wins

  • Gaziantep FK 2–1 Kasimpasa
  • Kasimpasa 2–3 Gaziantep FK
  • Gaziantep FK 2–2 Kasimpasa
  • Kasimpasa 2–2 Gaziantep FK
  • Gaziantep FK 2–0 Kasimpasa