Stade Rennais
- ATT
- 6213
- DEF
- 7315
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 6914
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 9:30 AM CT · Roazhon Park, Rennes, France
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
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Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 Ă log2(attack index), DEF = 65 â 30 Ă log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 Ă points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo â 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 Ă 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Rennes 0â0 Olympiacos. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a draw at only 30%, and its favorite was an Olympiacos win (44%). Goals: 0 scored against 2.1 expected (Rennes 0 vs 0.9, Olympiacos 0 vs 1.2). Shots: Rennes 9 (4 on target) vs Olympiacos 12 (3); possession 42% â 58%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Rennes (12th, 6 pts from 4) host Olympiacos (1st, 10 pts from 4) in the Europa League table as it stands. Rennes have scored 4 and conceded 3 in 3 Europa League games (1.3 and 1.0 per game). Olympiacos have scored 4 and conceded 1 in 3 Europa League games (1.3 and 0.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Rennes WLDWL, Olympiacos WWWWW. The goals model expects about 0.9â1.2. Olympiacos are slight favorites: Rennes 26%, draw 30%, Olympiacos 44%. The single most likely score is 0â1, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Rennes 1584, Olympiacos 1553) give Rennes an expected score of 63%, which disagrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Europa League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Expected goals (model): Rennes 0.85 · Olympiacos 1.21 · most likely score 0â1 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.50 / away 1.57 goals per game from 54 Europa League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline Ă attack Ă opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Rennes expected score 63%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Rennes | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Table position | 1st |
| 6 (4) | Points (played) | 10 (4) |
| 1-3-0 | W-D-L | 3-1-0 |
| 1.33 | Goals for / game* | 1.33 |
| 1.00 | Goals against / game* | 0.33 |
| WLDWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWWW |
| 1584 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1553 |
| 0.93 / 0.83 | Attack / defence index | 0.93 / 0.61 |
| 42 | Possession % (this match) | 58 |
| 9 | Shots (this match) | 12 |
| 4 | Shots on target (this match) | 3 |
| 3 | Corners (this match) | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls (this match) | 11 |
Table: current Europa League standings. *Europa League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
No previous meetings in the data feed.