LASK Linz
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 6012
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Raiffeisen Arena (Linz), Linz, Austria
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
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Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: LASK Linz 4–0 S Bratislava. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a LASK Linz win (85%). Goals: 4 scored against 5.0 expected (LASK Linz 4 vs 3.9, S Bratislava 0 vs 1.1). Shots: LASK Linz 29 (10 on target) vs S Bratislava 7 (5); possession 60% – 40%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
LASK Linz (15th, 6 pts from 4) host S Bratislava (36th, 0 pts from 4) in the Champions League table as it stands. LASK Linz have scored 6 and conceded 9 in 3 Champions League games (2.0 and 3.0 per game). S Bratislava have scored 1 and conceded 13 in 3 Champions League games (0.3 and 4.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): LASK Linz LWWLW, S Bratislava DWLLL. The goals model expects about 3.9–1.1. LASK Linz are clear favorites: LASK Linz 85%, draw 9%, S Bratislava 6%. The single most likely score is 3–1, but even that only has a 7% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Expected goals (model): LASK Linz 3.87 · S Bratislava 1.13 · most likely score 3–1 (7%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.45 / away 1.55 goals per game from 56 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: LASK Linz expected score 67%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| LASK Linz | S Bratislava | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Table position | 36th |
| 6 (4) | Points (played) | 0 (4) |
| 2-0-2 | W-D-L | 0-0-4 |
| 2.00 | Goals for / game* | 0.33 |
| 3.00 | Goals against / game* | 4.33 |
| LWWLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DWLLL |
| 1496 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1434 |
| 1.00 / 1.25 | Attack / defence index | 0.58 / 1.58 |
| 60 | Possession % (this match) | 40 |
| 29 | Shots (this match) | 7 |
| 10 | Shots on target (this match) | 5 |
| 8 | Corners (this match) | 2 |
| 5 | Fouls (this match) | 9 |
Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
No previous meetings in the data feed.