Bodo/Glimt
- ATT
- 5712
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 6714
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Aspmyra Stadion, BodÞ/Glimt, Norway
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from CBS Sports Golazo on YouTube: âBodĂž/Glimt vs. Lille: Extended Highlights | UCL League Phase MD 4 | CBS Sports Golazoâ. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 Ă log2(attack index), DEF = 65 â 30 Ă log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 Ă points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo â 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 Ă 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Bodo/Glimt 0â0 Lille. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a draw at only 18%, and its favorite was a Bodo/Glimt win (61%). Goals: 0 scored against 4.3 expected (Bodo/Glimt 0 vs 2.7, Lille 0 vs 1.6). Shots: Bodo/Glimt 4 (4 on target) vs Lille 9 (2); possession 50.8% â 49.2%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Bodo/Glimt (23rd, 4 pts from 4) host Lille (34th, 1 pts from 4) in the Champions League table as it stands. Bodo/Glimt have scored 4 and conceded 9 in 3 Champions League games (1.3 and 3.0 per game). Lille have scored 4 and conceded 10 in 3 Champions League games (1.3 and 3.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Bodo/Glimt WWLLW, Lille LDLDW. The goals model expects about 2.7â1.6. Bodo/Glimt are clear favorites: Bodo/Glimt 61%, draw 18%, Lille 22%. The single most likely score is 2â1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Bodo/Glimt 1565, Lille 1576) give Bodo/Glimt an expected score of 57%, which agrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Expected goals (model): Bodo/Glimt 2.72 · Lille 1.62 · most likely score 2â1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.45 / away 1.55 goals per game from 56 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline Ă attack Ă opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Bodo/Glimt expected score 57%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Bodo/Glimt | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 23rd | Table position | 34th |
| 4 (4) | Points (played) | 1 (4) |
| 1-1-2 | W-D-L | 0-1-3 |
| 1.33 | Goals for / game* | 1.33 |
| 3.00 | Goals against / game* | 3.33 |
| WWLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LDLDW |
| 1565 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1576 |
| 0.83 / 1.25 | Attack / defence index | 0.83 / 1.33 |
| 50.8 | Possession % (this match) | 49.2 |
| 4 | Shots (this match) | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target (this match) | 2 |
| 3 | Corners (this match) | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls (this match) | 8 |
Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
No previous meetings in the data feed.