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Atlético Madrid vs Bayern Munich: UEFA Champions League, Nov 3, 2026

UEFA Champions League
HomeAtlético Madrid7415OVR
0–2FT
AwayBayern Munich8016OVR
  • ⚽ 54' Lennart Karl
  • ⚽ 74' Konrad Laimer

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from CBS Sports Golazo on YouTube: “Atlético Madrid vs. Bayern Munich: Extended Highlights | UCL League Phase MD 4 | CBS Sports Golazo”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Alphonso Davies (Bayern) shoots off target. big chance*
  2. Harry Kane (Bayern) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  3. Half-time: Atlético 0–0 Bayern.
  4. GOAL! Lennart Karl scores for Bayern. Atlético 0–1 Bayern.
  5. Yellow card for Joshua Kimmich (Bayern).
  6. Substitution for Atlético: Lee Kang-In comes on for Álex Baena.
  7. Substitution for Atlético: Koke comes on for Robin Le Normand.
  8. Substitution for Atlético: Ademola Lookman comes on for Alexander Sørloth.
  9. Substitution for Bayern: Nathaniel Brown comes on for Lennart Karl.
  10. GOAL! Konrad Laimer scores for Bayern. Atlético 0–2 Bayern. Assist: Harry Kane.
  11. Substitution for Atlético: Rodrigo Mendoza comes on for Pablo Barrios.
  12. Substitution for Atlético: Jonathan David comes on for Julián Álvarez.
  13. Substitution for Bayern: Kim Min-Jae comes on for Alphonso Davies.
  14. Giuliano Simeone (Atlético) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  15. Yellow card for Giuliano Simeone (Atlético).
  16. Substitution for Bayern: Sacha Boey comes on for Konrad Laimer.
  17. Yellow card for Josip Stanisic (Bayern).
  18. Full-time: Atlético 0–2 Bayern.
Team comparison

Ratings

7415OVRHome

Atlético Madrid

ATT
5712
DEF
7716
FRM
9018
ELO
7916
  • 5712Attack7716
  • 7716Defence6914
  • 9018Form8116
  • 7916Elo strength9820
  • 7415Overall8016
ATTDEFFRMELO
Atlético Bayern
8016OVRAway

Bayern Munich

ATT
7716
DEF
6914
FRM
8116
ELO
9820

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Atlético 0–2 Bayern. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Bayern win at only 32%, and its favorite was a Atlético win (45%). Goals: 2 scored against 3.4 expected (Atlético 0 vs 1.9, Bayern 2 vs 1.6). Shots: Atlético 9 (3 on target) vs Bayern 19 (5); possession 41.5% – 58.5%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Atlético (22nd, 4 pts from 4) host Bayern (8th, 8 pts from 4) in the Champions League table as it stands. Atlético have scored 4 and conceded 3 in 3 Champions League games (1.3 and 1.0 per game). Bayern have scored 10 and conceded 5 in 3 Champions League games (3.3 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Atlético WWDWW, Bayern WDWWD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Atlético won 1, Bayern won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.9–1.6. Atlético are slight favorites: Atlético 45%, draw 22%, Bayern 32%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Atlético 1674, Bayern 1838) give Atlético an expected score of 35%, which disagrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.

Pre-match outlook

Atlético winDrawBayern win

Expected goals (model): Atlético 1.87 · Bayern 1.55 · most likely score 1–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.45 / away 1.55 goals per game from 56 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Atlético expected score 35%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

AtléticoBayern
22ndTable position8th
4 (4)Points (played)8 (4)
1-1-2W-D-L2-2-0
1.33Goals for / game*3.33
1.00Goals against / game*1.67
WWDWWForm, last 5 (all comps)WDWWD
1674Elo rating (pre-match)1838
0.83 / 0.75Attack / defence index1.33 / 0.92
41.5Possession % (this match)58.5
9Shots (this match)19
3Shots on target (this match)5
4Corners (this match)4
13Fouls (this match)3

Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Atlético 1 win · 1 draw · Bayern 3 wins

  • Atlético Madrid 1–1 Bayern Munich
  • Bayern Munich 4–0 Atlético Madrid
  • Bayern Munich 1–0 Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid 1–0 Bayern Munich
  • Bayern Munich 2–1 Atlético Madrid