The Coefficient4810OVRHome
Genclerbirligi
- ATT
- 469
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 357
- ELO
- 5311
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Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 2, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeGenclerbirligi4810OVR
5–0FT
AwayAlanyaspor5912OVR
- ⚽ 1' Ogulcan Ülgün
- ⚽ 59' Franco Tongya
- ⚽ 66' Tiago Gouveia
- ⚽ 68' Pedro Mendes
- ⚽ 78' Tiago Gouveia
Monday, November 2, 2026 · 11:00 AM CT · Eryaman Stadium, Ankara, Türkiye
Highlights
2D match highlights
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed.
▶ Watch official highlights
Official video from beIN SPORTS Türkiye on YouTube: “Gençlerbirliği - Alanyaspor - Highlights/Özet | Trendyol Süper Lig - 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Key moments
- GOAL! Ogulcan Ülgün scores for Genclerbirli. Genclerbirli 1–0 Alanyaspor.
- Yellow card for Pedro Mendes (Genclerbirli).
- Half-time: Genclerbirli 1–0 Alanyaspor.
- Yellow card for Bedirhan Özyurt (Alanyaspor).
- Substitution for Alanyaspor: Ianis Hagi comes on for Gaïus Makouta.
- Substitution for Alanyaspor: Meschack Elia comes on for Ibrahim Kaya.
- GOAL! Franco Tongya scores for Genclerbirli. Genclerbirli 2–0 Alanyaspor.
- Yellow card for Maestro (Alanyaspor).
- Substitution for Alanyaspor: Yusuf Ozdemir comes on for Bedirhan Özyurt.
- GOAL! Tiago Gouveia scores for Genclerbirli. Genclerbirli 3–0 Alanyaspor.
- GOAL! Pedro Mendes scores for Genclerbirli. Genclerbirli 4–0 Alanyaspor.
- Substitution for Genclerbirli: Rafael Luís comes on for Adama Traoré.
- Substitution for Genclerbirli: Salih Ucan comes on for Cheikh Niasse.
- Substitution for Alanyaspor: Omar Ben Ali comes on for Iván Cédric.
- Substitution for Alanyaspor: Enes Keskin comes on for Baran Gezek.
- GOAL! Tiago Gouveia scores for Genclerbirli. Genclerbirli 5–0 Alanyaspor.
- Substitution for Genclerbirli: Victor Orakpo comes on for Pedro Mendes.
- Substitution for Genclerbirli: Prince Martor comes on for Tiago Gouveia.
- Substitution for Genclerbirli: Furkan Ayaz comes on for Franco Tongya.
- Yellow card for Omar Ben Ali (Alanyaspor).
- Full-time: Genclerbirli 5–0 Alanyaspor.
Team comparison
Ratings
- 469Attack5311
- 5511Defence7114
- 357Form5311
- 5311Elo strength5812
- 4810Overall5912
5912OVRAway
Alanyaspor
- ATT
- 5311
- DEF
- 7114
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5812
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Post-match note
Final score: Genclerbirli 5–0 Alanyaspor. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Genclerbirli win at only 29%, and its favorite was an Alanyaspor win (42%). Goals: 5 scored against 2.2 expected (Genclerbirli 5 vs 0.9, Alanyaspor 0 vs 1.2). Shots: Genclerbirli 12 (7 on target) vs Alanyaspor 9 (3); possession 41.2% – 58.8%.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Genclerbirli (14th, 11 pts from 10) host Alanyaspor (12th, 12 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Genclerbirli have scored 7 and conceded 18 in 9 Süper Lig games (0.8 and 2.0 per game). Alanyaspor have scored 9 and conceded 11 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.0 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Genclerbirli LLDLL, Alanyaspor DWDLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Genclerbirli won 3, Alanyaspor won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.2. Alanyaspor are slight favorites: Genclerbirli 29%, draw 29%, Alanyaspor 42%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Genclerbirli 1434, Alanyaspor 1479) give Genclerbirli an expected score of 52%, which disagrees with the goals model.
Pre-match outlook
Expected goals (model): Genclerbirli 0.94 · Alanyaspor 1.21 · most likely score 0–1 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.70 / away 1.28 goals per game from 89 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Genclerbirli expected score 52%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Genclerbirli | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Table position | 12th |
| 11 (10) | Points (played) | 12 (10) |
| 3-2-5 | W-D-L | 3-3-4 |
| 0.78 | Goals for / game* | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.22 |
| LLDLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DWDLL |
| 1434 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1479 |
| 0.64 / 1.26 | Attack / defence index | 0.75 / 0.87 |
| 41.2 | Possession % (this match) | 58.8 |
| 12 | Shots (this match) | 9 |
| 7 | Shots on target (this match) | 3 |
| 3 | Corners (this match) | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls (this match) | 10 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Genclerbirli 3 wins · 2 draws · Alanyaspor 0 wins
- Alanyaspor 0–0 Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi 2–2 Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor 1–2 Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi 2–1 Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor 0–1 Genclerbirligi