Deportivo
- ATT
- 6012
- DEF
- 7014
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 6012
Monday, November 2, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Riazor, La Coruña, Spain
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from LALIGA on YouTube: âRC DEPORTIVO 2 - 1 CA OSASUNA | HIGHLIGHTS LALIGA EA SPORTSâ. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 Ă log2(attack index), DEF = 65 â 30 Ă log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 Ă points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo â 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 Ă 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Deportivo 2â1 Osasuna. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Deportivo win (62%). Goals: 3 scored against 2.8 expected (Deportivo 2 vs 1.9, Osasuna 1 vs 0.9). Shots: Deportivo 18 (7 on target) vs Osasuna 11 (2); possession 61.9% â 38.1%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Deportivo (8th, 14 pts from 11) host Osasuna (15th, 11 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Deportivo have scored 13 and conceded 13 in 10 La Liga games (1.3 and 1.3 per game). Osasuna have scored 10 and conceded 20 in 10 La Liga games (1.0 and 2.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Deportivo DLDLW, Osasuna DLWLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Deportivo won 2, Osasuna won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.9â0.9. Deportivo are clear favorites: Deportivo 62%, draw 22%, Osasuna 16%. The single most likely score is 1â0, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Deportivo 1498, Osasuna 1443) give Deportivo an expected score of 66%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Deportivo 1.91 · Osasuna 0.87 · most likely score 1â0 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.70 / away 1.31 goals per game from 108 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline Ă attack Ă opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Deportivo expected score 66%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Deportivo | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| 8th | Table position | 15th |
| 14 (11) | Points (played) | 11 (11) |
| 3-5-3 | W-D-L | 3-2-6 |
| 1.30 | Goals for / game* | 1.00 |
| 1.30 | Goals against / game* | 2.00 |
| DLDLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DLWLW |
| 1498 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1443 |
| 0.90 / 0.90 | Attack / defence index | 0.74 / 1.25 |
| 61.9 | Possession % (this match) | 38.1 |
| 18 | Shots (this match) | 11 |
| 7 | Shots on target (this match) | 2 |
| 8 | Corners (this match) | 2 |
| 5 | Fouls (this match) | 13 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Deportivo 2 wins · 1 draw · Osasuna 2 wins