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Benfica vs Alverca: Primeira Liga, Nov 2, 2026

Primeira Liga
HomeBenfica8617OVR
1–0FT
AwayAlverca6513OVR
  • âšœ 51' Vangelis Pavlidis (pen)

Monday, November 2, 2026 · 2:15 PM CT · Estådio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Find official highlights on YouTube

Key moments

  1. Yellow card for Yahya Bojang (Alverca).
  2. Yahya Bojang (Alverca) has the ball in the net, but the goal is ruled out after a video review.
  3. Half-time: Benfica 0–0 Alverca.
  4. Substitution for Benfica: Claudio Echeverri comes on for Andreas Schjelderup.
  5. GOAL! Vangelis Pavlidis scores from the penalty spot for Benfica. Benfica 1–0 Alverca.
  6. Yellow card for Chiquinho (Alverca).
  7. Substitution for Alverca: Matheus França comes on for Lucas Figueiredo.
  8. Substitution for Alverca: Diogo Spencer comes on for Chissumba.
  9. Yellow card for Ian Luccas (Alverca).
  10. Yellow card for Clément Lenglet (Benfica).
  11. Yahya Bojang (Alverca) shoots off target. big chance*
  12. Substitution for Benfica: Rafa Silva comes on for Dodi Lukébakio.
  13. Substitution for Alverca: Vivaldo Semedo comes on for Dawda Camara.
  14. Substitution for Alverca: ZĂ© Rafael comes on for Ian Luccas.
  15. Substitution for Alverca: CĂ©dric Nuozzi comes on for Isaac James.
  16. Substitution for Benfica: Manu Silva comes on for JoĂŁo Palhinha.
  17. Substitution for Benfica: Jhon DurĂĄn comes on for Vangelis Pavlidis.
  18. Substitution for Benfica: Jakub Kaminski comes on for Gianluca Prestianni.
  19. Full-time: Benfica 1–0 Alverca.
Team comparison

Ratings

8617OVRHome

Benfica

ATT
9118
DEF
7816
FRM
8517
ELO
8918
  • 9118Attack6714
  • 7816Defence6313
  • 8517Form7114
  • 8918Elo strength5812
  • 8617Overall6513
ATTDEFFRMELO
Benfica Alverca
6513OVRAway

Alverca

ATT
6714
DEF
6313
FRM
7114
ELO
5812

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Benfica 1–0 Alverca. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Benfica win (68%). Goals: 1 scored against 3.6 expected (Benfica 1 vs 2.5, Alverca 0 vs 1.1). Shots: Benfica 13 (4 on target) vs Alverca 8 (4); possession 65.2% – 34.8%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Benfica (2nd, 25 pts from 10) host Alverca (10th, 11 pts from 10) in the Primeira Liga table as it stands. Benfica have scored 26 and conceded 8 in 9 Primeira Liga games (2.9 and 0.9 per game). Alverca have scored 13 and conceded 13 in 9 Primeira Liga games (1.4 and 1.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Benfica LWWWW, Alverca WWWLL. In the last 2 meetings on record, Benfica won 2, Alverca won 0 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.5–1.1. Benfica are clear favorites: Benfica 68%, draw 17%, Alverca 15%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Benfica 1758, Alverca 1481) give Benfica an expected score of 87%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Benfica winDrawAlverca win

Expected goals (model): Benfica 2.51 · Alverca 1.10 · most likely score 2–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.31 / away 1.42 goals per game from 88 Primeira Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Benfica expected score 87%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

BenficaAlverca
2ndTable position10th
25 (10)Points (played)11 (10)
8-1-1W-D-L3-2-5
2.89Goals for / game*1.44
0.89Goals against / game*1.44
LWWWWForm, last 5 (all comps)WWWLL
1758Elo rating (pre-match)1481
1.84 / 0.74Attack / defence index1.04 / 1.04
65.2Possession % (this match)34.8
13Shots (this match)8
4Shots on target (this match)4
8Corners (this match)5
11Fouls (this match)15

Table: current Primeira Liga standings. *Primeira Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Benfica 2 wins · 0 draws · Alverca 0 wins

  • Benfica 2–1 Alverca
  • Alverca 1–2 Benfica