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Atalanta vs Parma: Serie A, Nov 2, 2026

Serie A
HomeAtalanta6213OVR
0–3FT
AwayParma4810OVR
  • ⚽ 41' Giovanni Fabbian
  • ⚽ 47' Davide Zappacosta (og)
  • ⚽ 58' Simone Lontani

Monday, November 2, 2026 · 1:45 PM CT · New Balance Arena, Bergamo, Italy

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “First Success for Gilardino | ATALANTA-PARMA | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Giovanni Fabbian scores for Parma. Atalanta 0–1 Parma. Assist: Vincent Sierro.
  2. Jon Rowe (Atalanta) shoots off target. big chance*
  3. Substitution for Parma: Abdoulaye Ndiaye comes on for Dominik Drobnic.
  4. Half-time: Atalanta 0–1 Parma.
  5. Own goal by Davide Zappacosta (Parma). Atalanta 0–2 Parma.
  6. GOAL! Simone Lontani scores for Parma. Atalanta 0–3 Parma. Assist: Giovanni Fabbian.
  7. Substitution for Atalanta: Eljif Elmas comes on for Éderson.
  8. Substitution for Atalanta: Kamaldeen Sulemana comes on for Jon Rowe.
  9. Substitution for Parma: Christian Ordoñez comes on for Simone Lontani.
  10. Substitution for Parma: Nesta Elphege comes on for El Bilal Toure.
  11. Substitution for Parma: Matija Frigan comes on for Giovanni Fabbian.
  12. Substitution for Atalanta: Lazar Samardzic comes on for Nicola Zalewski.
  13. Substitution for Atalanta: Javison Idele comes on for Davide Zappacosta.
  14. Mario Pasalic (Atalanta) hits the woodwork!
  15. Nikola Krstovic (Atalanta) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  16. Substitution for Parma: Hans Nicolussi Caviglia comes on for Vincent Sierro.
  17. Full-time: Atalanta 0–3 Parma.
Team comparison

Ratings

6213OVRHome

Atalanta

ATT
6914
DEF
5912
FRM
5311
ELO
6613
  • 6914Attack367
  • 5912Defence6313
  • 5311Form398
  • 6613Elo strength5110
  • 6213Overall4810
ATTDEFFRMELO
Atalanta Parma
4810OVRAway

Parma

ATT
367
DEF
6313
FRM
398
ELO
5110

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Atalanta 0–3 Parma. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Parma win at only 18%, and its favorite was a Atalanta win (60%). Goals: 3 scored against 2.7 expected (Atalanta 0 vs 1.8, Parma 3 vs 0.9). Shots: Atalanta 20 (6 on target) vs Parma 6 (3); possession 69.6% – 30.4%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Atalanta (13th, 11 pts from 10) host Parma (15th, 8 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Atalanta have scored 16 and conceded 17 in 9 Serie A games (1.8 and 1.9 per game). Parma have scored 5 and conceded 15 in 9 Serie A games (0.6 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Atalanta WLLDD, Parma DLLLD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Atalanta won 2, Parma won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.8–0.9. Atalanta are clear favorites: Atalanta 60%, draw 22%, Parma 18%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Atalanta 1555, Parma 1415) give Atalanta an expected score of 76%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Atalanta winDrawParma win

Expected goals (model): Atalanta 1.84 · Parma 0.90 · most likely score 1–0 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.55 goals per game from 99 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Atalanta expected score 76%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

AtalantaParma
13thTable position15th
11 (10)Points (played)8 (10)
3-2-5W-D-L2-2-6
1.78Goals for / game*0.56
1.89Goals against / game*1.67
WLLDDForm, last 5 (all comps)DLLLD
1555Elo rating (pre-match)1415
1.09 / 1.14Attack / defence index0.51 / 1.04
69.6Possession % (this match)30.4
20Shots (this match)6
6Shots on target (this match)3
8Corners (this match)5
8Fouls (this match)10

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Atalanta 2 wins · 1 draw · Parma 2 wins

  • Atalanta 4–0 Parma
  • Parma 1–1 Atalanta
  • Atalanta 2–3 Parma
  • Parma 1–3 Atalanta
  • Parma 4–1 Atalanta