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1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Cologne: Bundesliga, Nov 1, 2026

Bundesliga
Home1. FC Union Berlin5411OVR
1–1FT
AwayFC Cologne6012OVR
  • ⚽ 10' Janik Haberer
  • ⚽ 79' Malek El Mala

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT · Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin, Germany

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Find official highlights on YouTube

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Janik Haberer scores for Union Berlin. Union Berlin 1–0 Cologne. Assist: Tim Skarke.
  2. Yellow card for Zeno Van Den Bosch (Union Berlin).
  3. Yellow card for Jahmai Simpson-Pusey (Cologne).
  4. Half-time: Union Berlin 1–0 Cologne.
  5. Yellow card for Paul Okon-Engstler (Cologne).
  6. Yellow card for Kastriot Imeri (Union Berlin).
  7. Substitution for Cologne: Alessio Castro-Montes comes on for Sebastian Sebulonsen.
  8. Substitution for Cologne: Mikey Moore comes on for Ísak Jóhannesson.
  9. Substitution for Union Berlin: Aljoscha Kemlein comes on for Kastriot Imeri.
  10. Substitution for Union Berlin: Oliver Burke comes on for Tim Skarke.
  11. Yellow card for Linton Maina (Cologne).
  12. Substitution for Cologne: Malek El Mala comes on for Linton Maina.
  13. Said El Mala (Cologne) shoots off target. big chance*
  14. Substitution for Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong comes on for Livan Burcu.
  15. Substitution for Union Berlin: Christopher Trimmel comes on for Janik Haberer.
  16. Yellow card for Aljoscha Kemlein (Union Berlin).
  17. Yellow card for Derrick Köhn (Union Berlin).
  18. GOAL! Malek El Mala scores for Cologne. Union Berlin 1–1 Cologne. Assist: Alessio Castro-Montes.
  19. Substitution for Union Berlin: Emmanuel Latte Lath comes on for Michel Aebischer.
  20. Full-time: Union Berlin 1–1 Cologne.
Team comparison

Ratings

5411OVRHome

1. FC Union Berlin

ATT
469
DEF
5311
FRM
6714
ELO
5411
  • 469Attack5311
  • 5311Defence6814
  • 6714Form6714
  • 5411Elo strength5110
  • 5411Overall6012
ATTDEFFRMELO
Union Berlin Cologne
6012OVRAway

FC Cologne

ATT
5311
DEF
6814
FRM
6714
ELO
5110

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Union Berlin 1–1 Cologne. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a draw at only 26%, and its favorite was a Cologne win (40%). Goals: 2 scored against 2.7 expected (Union Berlin 1 vs 1.3, Cologne 1 vs 1.4). Shots: Union Berlin 5 (2 on target) vs Cologne 14 (2); possession 37.2% – 62.8%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Union Berlin (16th, 7 pts from 8) host Cologne (13th, 9 pts from 8) in the Bundesliga table as it stands. Union Berlin have scored 6 and conceded 18 in 7 Bundesliga games (0.9 and 2.6 per game). Cologne have scored 8 and conceded 11 in 7 Bundesliga games (1.1 and 1.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Union Berlin WWDDL, Cologne DWLDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Union Berlin won 2, Cologne won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.3–1.4. This looks evenly matched: Union Berlin 34%, draw 26%, Cologne 40%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Union Berlin 1443, Cologne 1423) give Union Berlin an expected score of 61%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Union Berlin winDrawCologne win

Expected goals (model): Union Berlin 1.26 · Cologne 1.39 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.13 / away 1.39 goals per game from 70 Bundesliga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Union Berlin expected score 61%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Union BerlinCologne
16thTable position13th
7 (8)Points (played)9 (8)
1-4-3W-D-L2-3-3
0.86Goals for / game*1.14
2.57Goals against / game*1.57
WWDDLForm, last 5 (all comps)DWLDW
1443Elo rating (pre-match)1423
0.64 / 1.32Attack / defence index0.76 / 0.93
37.2Possession % (this match)62.8
5Shots (this match)14
2Shots on target (this match)2
2Corners (this match)6
11Fouls (this match)10

Table: current Bundesliga standings. *Bundesliga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Union Berlin 2 wins · 1 draw · Cologne 2 wins

  • FC Cologne 5–0 1. FC Union Berlin
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 FC Cologne
  • FC Cologne 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin
  • FC Cologne 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin
  • 1. FC Union Berlin 2–0 FC Cologne