Trabzonspor
- ATT
- 8317
- DEF
- 8016
- FRM
- 9920
- ELO
- 8016
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Papara Park, Trabzon, Türkiye
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed.
Official video from beIN SPORTS Türkiye on YouTube: “Trabzonspor - Gaziantep FK - Highlights | Trendyol Süper Lig - 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Trabzonspor 2–0 Gaziantep. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Trabzonspor win (80%). Goals: 2 scored against 3.4 expected (Trabzonspor 2 vs 2.7, Gaziantep 0 vs 0.7). Shots: Trabzonspor 18 (6 on target) vs Gaziantep 13 (6); possession 57.4% – 42.6%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Trabzonspor (3rd, 22 pts from 10) host Gaziantep (16th, 8 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Trabzonspor have scored 22 and conceded 8 in 9 Süper Lig games (2.4 and 0.9 per game). Gaziantep have scored 9 and conceded 15 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.0 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Trabzonspor WWWWW, Gaziantep DLLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Trabzonspor won 3, Gaziantep won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.7–0.7. Trabzonspor are clear favorites: Trabzonspor 80%, draw 13%, Gaziantep 7%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Trabzonspor 1678, Gaziantep 1411) give Trabzonspor an expected score of 87%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Trabzonspor 2.73 · Gaziantep 0.69 · most likely score 2–0 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.65 / away 1.28 goals per game from 86 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Trabzonspor expected score 87%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Trabzonspor | Gaziantep | |
|---|---|---|
| 3rd | Table position | 16th |
| 22 (10) | Points (played) | 8 (10) |
| 7-1-2 | W-D-L | 2-2-6 |
| 2.44 | Goals for / game* | 1.00 |
| 0.89 | Goals against / game* | 1.67 |
| WWWWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DLLLL |
| 1678 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1411 |
| 1.50 / 0.71 | Attack / defence index | 0.76 / 1.10 |
| 57.4 | Possession % (this match) | 42.6 |
| 18 | Shots (this match) | 13 |
| 6 | Shots on target (this match) | 6 |
| 4 | Corners (this match) | 2 |
| 7 | Fouls (this match) | 12 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Trabzonspor 3 wins · 2 draws · Gaziantep 0 wins