Racing Santander
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 469
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 5712
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 9:15 AM CT · El Sardineros, Santander, Spain
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from ESPN FC on YouTube: âRacing Santander vs. Real Madrid | LALIGA Highlights | ESPN FCâ. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 Ă log2(attack index), DEF = 65 â 30 Ă log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 Ă points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo â 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 Ă 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Racing 0â3 Real Madrid. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Real Madrid win (73%). Goals: 3 scored against 4.3 expected (Racing 0 vs 1.3, Real Madrid 3 vs 3.0). Shots: Racing 10 (1 on target) vs Real Madrid 22 (7); possession 46.3% â 53.7%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Racing (16th, 11 pts from 11) host Real Madrid (3rd, 27 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Racing have scored 15 and conceded 26 in 10 La Liga games (1.5 and 2.6 per game). Real Madrid have scored 25 and conceded 10 in 10 La Liga games (2.5 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Racing LDLWW, Real Madrid WWWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Racing won 0, Real Madrid won 4 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.3â3.0. Real Madrid are clear favorites: Racing 13%, draw 14%, Real Madrid 73%. The single most likely score is 1â3, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Racing 1472, Real Madrid 1771) give Racing an expected score of 20%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Racing 1.27 · Real Madrid 3.02 · most likely score 1â3 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.73 / away 1.30 goals per game from 105 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline Ă attack Ă opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Racing expected score 20%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Racing | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Table position | 3rd |
| 11 (11) | Points (played) | 27 (11) |
| 3-2-6 | W-D-L | 9-0-2 |
| 1.50 | Goals for / game* | 2.50 |
| 2.60 | Goals against / game* | 1.00 |
| LDLWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWWW |
| 1472 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1771 |
| 0.99 / 1.55 | Attack / defence index | 1.50 / 0.74 |
| 46.3 | Possession % (this match) | 53.7 |
| 10 | Shots (this match) | 22 |
| 1 | Shots on target (this match) | 7 |
| 4 | Corners (this match) | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls (this match) | 8 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Racing 0 wins · 1 draw · Real Madrid 4 wins