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PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag: Eredivisie, Nov 1, 2026

Eredivisie
HomePEC Zwolle5110OVR
1–0FT
AwayADO Den Haag5511OVR
  • ⚽ 45' Dylan Mbayo

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 5:15 AM CT · MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle, Netherlands

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Find official highlights on YouTube

Key moments

  1. Sydney van Hooijdonk (PEC Zwolle) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  2. Olivier Aertssen (PEC Zwolle) shoots off target. big chance*
  3. Nick Viergever (PEC Zwolle) shoots off target. big chance*
  4. Olivier Aertssen (PEC Zwolle) shoots off target. big chance*
  5. Simon Graves (PEC Zwolle) shoots off target. big chance*
  6. Evan Rottier (ADO Den Haag) has the ball in the net, but the goal is ruled out after a video review.
  7. GOAL! Dylan Mbayo scores for PEC Zwolle. PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag. Assist: Younes Namli.
  8. Substitution for ADO Den Haag: Othniël Raterink comes on for Jonas Jensen-Abbew.
  9. Substitution for ADO Den Haag: Cameron Peupion comes on for Jalen Hawkins.
  10. Half-time: PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag.
  11. Sydney van Hooijdonk (PEC Zwolle) hits the woodwork!
  12. Yellow card for Yannick Eduardo (ADO Den Haag).
  13. Yellow card for Pascal Mulder (ADO Den Haag).
  14. Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Thijs Oosting comes on for Younes Namli.
  15. Substitution for ADO Den Haag: Jesse Bal comes on for Matej Sin.
  16. Substitution for ADO Den Haag: Daryl van Mieghem comes on for Nigel Thomas.
  17. Yellow card for Olivier Aertssen (PEC Zwolle).
  18. Tobias Sommer (PEC Zwolle) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  19. Yellow card for Matteo Waem (ADO Den Haag).
  20. Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Ibrahim Cissoko comes on for Dylan Mbayo.
  21. Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Jan Bürger comes on for Olivier Aertssen.
  22. Substitution for ADO Den Haag: Bárány Donát comes on for Yannick Eduardo.
  23. Yellow card for Gilles Van Der Wal (PEC Zwolle).
  24. Yellow card for Ibrahim Cissoko (PEC Zwolle).
  25. Substitution for PEC Zwolle: Tijs Velthuis comes on for Tobias Sommer.
  26. Full-time: PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag.
Team comparison

Ratings

5110OVRHome

PEC Zwolle

ATT
4810
DEF
5812
FRM
4810
ELO
5010
  • 4810Attack5311
  • 5812Defence5812
  • 4810Form5311
  • 5010Elo strength5411
  • 5110Overall5511
ATTDEFFRMELO
PEC Zwolle ADO Den Haag
5511OVRAway

ADO Den Haag

ATT
5311
DEF
5812
FRM
5311
ELO
5411

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: PEC Zwolle 1–0 ADO Den Haag. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a PEC Zwolle win at only 32%, and its favorite was an ADO Den Haag win (45%). Goals: 1 scored against 3.2 expected (PEC Zwolle 1 vs 1.4, ADO Den Haag 0 vs 1.7). Shots: PEC Zwolle 24 (5 on target) vs ADO Den Haag 12 (3); possession 34.2% – 65.8%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

PEC Zwolle (14th, 11 pts from 11) host ADO Den Haag (17th, 6 pts from 11) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. PEC Zwolle have scored 11 and conceded 23 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.1 and 2.3 per game). ADO Den Haag have scored 13 and conceded 23 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.3 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): PEC Zwolle LLWDL, ADO Den Haag DDWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, PEC Zwolle won 2, ADO Den Haag won 3 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.4–1.7. ADO Den Haag are slight favorites: PEC Zwolle 32%, draw 23%, ADO Den Haag 45%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (PEC Zwolle 1414, ADO Den Haag 1450) give PEC Zwolle an expected score of 53%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

PEC Zwolle winDrawADO Den Haag win

Expected goals (model): PEC Zwolle 1.45 · ADO Den Haag 1.74 · most likely score 1–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 1.95 goals per game from 95 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: PEC Zwolle expected score 53%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
14thTable position17th
11 (11)Points (played)6 (11)
3-2-6W-D-L1-3-7
1.10Goals for / game*1.30
2.30Goals against / game*2.30
LLWDLForm, last 5 (all comps)DDWLL
1414Elo rating (pre-match)1450
0.68 / 1.17Attack / defence index0.76 / 1.17
34.2Possession % (this match)65.8
24Shots (this match)12
5Shots on target (this match)3
8Corners (this match)2
15Fouls (this match)9

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

PEC Zwolle 2 wins · 0 draws · ADO Den Haag 3 wins

  • ADO Den Haag 3–1 PEC Zwolle
  • PEC Zwolle 1–2 ADO Den Haag
  • PEC Zwolle 0–1 ADO Den Haag
  • ADO Den Haag 0–2 PEC Zwolle
  • PEC Zwolle 3–1 ADO Den Haag