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Marseille vs Toulouse: Ligue 1, Nov 1, 2026

Ligue 1
HomeMarseille6914OVR
2–0FT
AwayToulouse6513OVR
  • ⚽ 1' Amine Harit
  • ⚽ 25' Amine Gouiri

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 1:45 PM CT · Stade Vélodrome, Marseille, France

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from beIN SPORTS USA on YouTube: “Marseille vs Toulouse | EXTENDED HIGHLIGHTS Ligue 1 | 11/01/2026 | beIN SPORTS USA”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Amine Harit scores for Marseille. Marseille 1–0 Toulouse. Assist: Amine Gouiri.
  2. Substitution for Marseille: Ulisses Garcia comes on for Emerson.
  3. GOAL! Amine Gouiri scores for Marseille. Marseille 2–0 Toulouse. Assist: Igor Paixão.
  4. Jacen Russell-Rowe (Toulouse) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  5. Nayef Aguerd (Marseille) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  6. Yellow card for Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (Marseille).
  7. Substitution for Toulouse: Sion Oppong comes on for Aron Donnum.
  8. Half-time: Marseille 2–0 Toulouse.
  9. Substitution for Toulouse: Santiago Hidalgo comes on for Jacen Russell-Rowe.
  10. Casper Tengstedt (Toulouse) shoots off target. big chance*
  11. Igor Paixão (Marseille) hits the woodwork!
  12. Substitution for Toulouse: Niklas Schmidt comes on for Ismail Diallo.
  13. Casper Tengstedt (Toulouse) has the ball in the net, but the goal is ruled out after a video review.
  14. Substitution for Marseille: Kelyann Bezahaf comes on for Amine Harit.
  15. Substitution for Marseille: Geoffrey Kondogbia comes on for Himad Abdelli.
  16. Yellow card for CJ Egan-Riley (Marseille).
  17. Yellow card for Santiago Hidalgo (Toulouse).
  18. Substitution for Marseille: Neal Maupay comes on for Amine Gouiri.
  19. Substitution for Marseille: Angel Gomes comes on for Tochukwu Nnadi.
  20. Substitution for Toulouse: Julián Vignolo comes on for Niko Sigur.
  21. Substitution for Toulouse: Seny Koumbassa comes on for Rasmus Nicolaisen.
  22. Full-time: Marseille 2–0 Toulouse.
Team comparison

Ratings

6914OVRHome

Marseille

ATT
7816
DEF
6313
FRM
7114
ELO
6413
  • 7816Attack6413
  • 6313Defence6814
  • 7114Form6714
  • 6413Elo strength6213
  • 6914Overall6513
ATTDEFFRMELO
Marseille Toulouse
6513OVRAway

Toulouse

ATT
6413
DEF
6814
FRM
6714
ELO
6213

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Marseille 2–0 Toulouse. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Marseille win (55%). Goals: 2 scored against 3.5 expected (Marseille 2 vs 2.1, Toulouse 0 vs 1.4). Shots: Marseille 13 (3 on target) vs Toulouse 14 (7); possession 43.6% – 56.4%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Marseille (6th, 15 pts from 9) host Toulouse (12th, 10 pts from 9) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Marseille have scored 18 and conceded 13 in 8 Ligue 1 games (2.2 and 1.6 per game). Toulouse have scored 12 and conceded 11 in 8 Ligue 1 games (1.5 and 1.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Marseille WLWLW, Toulouse WLDWD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Marseille won 3, Toulouse won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.1–1.4. Marseille are clear favorites: Marseille 55%, draw 21%, Toulouse 24%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Marseille 1532, Toulouse 1515) give Marseille an expected score of 61%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Marseille winDrawToulouse win

Expected goals (model): Marseille 2.14 · Toulouse 1.38 · most likely score 2–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.72 / away 1.34 goals per game from 79 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Marseille expected score 61%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

MarseilleToulouse
6thTable position12th
15 (9)Points (played)10 (9)
5-0-4W-D-L2-4-3
2.25Goals for / game*1.50
1.62Goals against / game*1.38
WLWLWForm, last 5 (all comps)WLDWD
1532Elo rating (pre-match)1515
1.34 / 1.04Attack / defence index0.98 / 0.93
43.6Possession % (this match)56.4
13Shots (this match)14
3Shots on target (this match)7
4Corners (this match)3
14Fouls (this match)14

Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Marseille 3 wins · 2 draws · Toulouse 0 wins

  • Toulouse 0–1 Marseille
  • Marseille 2–2 Toulouse
  • Marseille 2–2 Toulouse
  • Marseille 3–2 Toulouse
  • Toulouse 1–3 Marseille