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Lecce vs Genoa: Serie A, Nov 1, 2026

Serie A
HomeLecce5211OVR
1–2FT
AwayGenoa6012OVR
  • ⚽ 11' Milutin Osmajic
  • ⚽ 28' Junior Messias
  • ⚽ 40' Youssef Maleh

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 11:00 AM CT · Via Del Mare, Lecce, Italy

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “Third Win in a Row for the Grifone! | LECCE-GENOA | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. GOAL! Milutin Osmajic scores for Genoa. Lecce 0–1 Genoa. Assist: Junior Messias.
  2. GOAL! Junior Messias scores for Genoa. Lecce 0–2 Genoa. Assist: Stephan El Shaarawy.
  3. GOAL! Youssef Maleh scores for Lecce. Lecce 1–2 Genoa.
  4. Nikola Stulic (Lecce) has the ball in the net, but the goal is ruled out after a video review.
  5. Nikola Stulic (Lecce) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  6. Half-time: Lecce 1–2 Genoa.
  7. Stephan El Shaarawy (Genoa) hits the woodwork!
  8. Substitution for Lecce: Mohamed Kaba comes on for Olaf Gorter.
  9. Yellow card for Mohamed Kaba (Lecce).
  10. Substitution for Lecce: Amar Ahmed comes on for Joel Monteiro.
  11. Substitution for Genoa: Kingsley Ehizibue comes on for Samuel Wiafe.
  12. Substitution for Genoa: Vitinha comes on for Stephan El Shaarawy.
  13. Yellow card for Hamed Traoré (Genoa).
  14. Yellow card for Jamil Siebert (Lecce).
  15. Substitution for Lecce: Omri Gandelman comes on for Youssef Maleh.
  16. Substitution for Lecce: Ali Dembélé comes on for Nikola Stulic.
  17. Substitution for Lecce: Francisco Esteban Sánchez comes on for Konan N’Dri.
  18. Substitution for Genoa: Djibril Sow comes on for Hamed Traoré.
  19. Substitution for Genoa: Lorenzo Colombo comes on for Milutin Osmajic.
  20. Substitution for Genoa: Ethan Meichtry comes on for Junior Messias.
  21. Full-time: Lecce 1–2 Genoa.
Team comparison

Ratings

5211OVRHome

Lecce

ATT
5411
DEF
5511
FRM
449
ELO
5110
  • 5411Attack4810
  • 5511Defence6814
  • 449Form7114
  • 5110Elo strength5611
  • 5211Overall6012
ATTDEFFRMELO
Lecce Genoa
6012OVRAway

Genoa

ATT
4810
DEF
6814
FRM
7114
ELO
5611

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Lecce 1–2 Genoa. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Genoa win (39%). Goals: 3 scored against 2.5 expected (Lecce 1 vs 1.2, Genoa 2 vs 1.3). Shots: Lecce 18 (7 on target) vs Genoa 13 (3); possession 52.9% – 47.1%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Lecce (14th, 9 pts from 10) host Genoa (11th, 13 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Lecce have scored 10 and conceded 19 in 9 Serie A games (1.1 and 2.1 per game). Genoa have scored 8 and conceded 13 in 9 Serie A games (0.9 and 1.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Lecce LLWLL, Genoa LWLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Lecce won 1, Genoa won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.3. This looks evenly matched: Lecce 34%, draw 27%, Genoa 39%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Lecce 1420, Genoa 1463) give Lecce an expected score of 52%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Lecce winDrawGenoa win

Expected goals (model): Lecce 1.19 · Genoa 1.28 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.53 goals per game from 96 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Lecce expected score 52%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

LecceGenoa
14thTable position11th
9 (10)Points (played)13 (10)
3-0-7W-D-L4-1-5
1.11Goals for / game*0.89
2.11Goals against / game*1.44
LLWLLForm, last 5 (all comps)LWLWW
1420Elo rating (pre-match)1463
0.78 / 1.25Attack / defence index0.67 / 0.93
52.9Possession % (this match)47.1
18Shots (this match)13
7Shots on target (this match)3
6Corners (this match)3
19Fouls (this match)9

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Lecce 1 win · 2 draws · Genoa 2 wins

  • Lecce 1–0 Genoa
  • Genoa 0–0 Lecce
  • Genoa 2–1 Lecce
  • Lecce 0–0 Genoa
  • Genoa 2–1 Lecce