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Lazio vs Cagliari: Serie A, Nov 1, 2026

Serie A
HomeLazio8317OVR
2–1FT
AwayCagliari5511OVR
  • ⚽ 20' M'Bala Nzola
  • ⚽ 36' Gustav Isaksen
  • ⚽ 83' Andrea Pinamonti
  • 🟥 90'+1' Adam Obert

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Olimpico, Roma, Italy

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “Lazio Alone on Top! | LAZIO-CAGLIARI | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. GOAL! M'Bala Nzola scores for Cagliari. Lazio 0–1 Cagliari. Assist: Alieu Fadera.
  2. Substitution for Cagliari: Raphael Kofler comes on for Alieu Fadera.
  3. GOAL! Gustav Isaksen scores for Lazio. Lazio 1–1 Cagliari. Assist: Tijjani Noslin.
  4. Half-time: Lazio 1–1 Cagliari.
  5. Substitution for Cagliari: Paul Mendy comes on for M'Bala Nzola.
  6. Zé Pedro (Cagliari) shoots off target. big chance*
  7. Substitution for Lazio: Alfonso Pedraza comes on for Nuno Tavares.
  8. Substitution for Lazio: Fisayo Dele-Bashiru comes on for Davide Frattesi.
  9. Substitution for Lazio: Andrea Pinamonti comes on for Mattia Zaccagni.
  10. Yellow card for Jacopo Fazzini (Cagliari).
  11. Substitution for Cagliari: Yael Trepy comes on for Daniel Maldini.
  12. Substitution for Cagliari: Joseph Liteta comes on for Jacopo Fazzini.
  13. Yellow card for Juan Rodríguez (Cagliari).
  14. Oliver Provstgaard (Lazio) shoots off target. big chance*
  15. Substitution for Lazio: Diogo Leite comes on for Oliver Provstgaard.
  16. Yellow card for Adam Obert (Cagliari).
  17. Substitution for Lazio: Danilo Cataldi comes on for Reda Belahyane.
  18. GOAL! Andrea Pinamonti scores for Lazio. Lazio 2–1 Cagliari. Assist: Alfonso Pedraza.
  19. Yellow card for Andrea Pinamonti (Lazio).
  20. Substitution for Cagliari: Kevin Carlos comes on for Alessandro Deiola.
  21. Red card! Adam Obert (Cagliari) is sent off.
  22. Full-time: Lazio 2–1 Cagliari.
Team comparison

Ratings

8317OVRHome

Lazio

ATT
8016
DEF
8617
FRM
9018
ELO
7415
  • 8016Attack4810
  • 8617Defence6814
  • 9018Form4810
  • 7415Elo strength5511
  • 8317Overall5511
ATTDEFFRMELO
Lazio Cagliari
5511OVRAway

Cagliari

ATT
4810
DEF
6814
FRM
4810
ELO
5511

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Lazio 2–1 Cagliari. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Lazio win (72%). Goals: 3 scored against 2.8 expected (Lazio 2 vs 2.1, Cagliari 1 vs 0.6). Shots: Lazio 11 (4 on target) vs Cagliari 9 (3); possession 73.7% – 26.3%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Lazio (1st, 28 pts from 10) host Cagliari (12th, 13 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Lazio have scored 22 and conceded 7 in 9 Serie A games (2.4 and 0.8 per game). Cagliari have scored 8 and conceded 13 in 9 Serie A games (0.9 and 1.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Lazio DWWWW, Cagliari WDLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Lazio won 4, Cagliari won 0 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 2.1–0.6. Lazio are clear favorites: Lazio 72%, draw 18%, Cagliari 10%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Lazio 1623, Cagliari 1453) give Lazio an expected score of 79%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Lazio winDrawCagliari win

Expected goals (model): Lazio 2.13 · Cagliari 0.64 · most likely score 2–0 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.55 goals per game from 94 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Lazio expected score 79%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

LazioCagliari
1stTable position12th
28 (10)Points (played)13 (10)
9-1-0W-D-L4-1-5
2.44Goals for / game*0.89
0.78Goals against / game*1.44
DWWWWForm, last 5 (all comps)WDLLL
1623Elo rating (pre-match)1453
1.40 / 0.62Attack / defence index0.67 / 0.93
73.7Possession % (this match)26.3
11Shots (this match)9
4Shots on target (this match)3
2Corners (this match)2
7Fouls (this match)18

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Lazio 4 wins · 1 draw · Cagliari 0 wins

  • Cagliari 0–0 Lazio
  • Lazio 2–0 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 1–2 Lazio
  • Lazio 2–1 Cagliari
  • Cagliari 1–3 Lazio