The Coefficient5110OVRHome
Getafe
- ATT
- 347
- DEF
- 6513
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5411
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Getafe vs Sevilla: La Liga, Nov 1, 2026
La LigaHomeGetafe5110OVR
3–1FT
AwaySevilla6313OVR
- ⚽ 19' Enrique Salas
- ⚽ 68' Enes Ünal
- ⚽ 73' Martín Satriano
- 🟥 90'+1' Manu Bueno
- ⚽ 90'+4' Orel Mangala
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Estadio Coliseum, Getafe, Spain
Highlights
2D match highlights
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
▶ Watch official highlights
Official video from ESPN FC on YouTube: “Getafe vs. Sevilla | LALIGA Highlights | ESPN FC”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Key moments
- GOAL! Enrique Salas scores for Sevilla. Getafe 0–1 Sevilla. Assist: Felix Correia.
- Yellow card for Gabriel Suazo (Sevilla).
- Substitution for Sevilla: Manu Bueno comes on for Isaac Romero.
- Half-time: Getafe 0–1 Sevilla.
- Substitution for Getafe: Orel Mangala comes on for Francho Serrano.
- Substitution for Getafe: Davinchi comes on for Jean Ives Valou.
- Yellow card for Davinchi (Getafe).
- GOAL! Enes Ünal scores for Getafe. Getafe 1–1 Sevilla. Assist: Martín Satriano.
- Substitution for Sevilla: Robbie Ure comes on for Youssouf Fofana.
- Substitution for Sevilla: Rubén Vargas comes on for Felix Correia.
- GOAL! Martín Satriano scores for Getafe. Getafe 2–1 Sevilla. Assist: Enes Ünal.
- Yellow card for Lucien Agoumé (Sevilla).
- Yellow card for Andrés Castrín (Sevilla).
- Yellow card for Arouna Sangante (Sevilla).
- Substitution for Getafe: Ivan Azón comes on for Enes Ünal.
- Substitution for Getafe: Kiko Femenía comes on for Ramón Terrats.
- Martín Satriano (Getafe) shoots off target. big chance*
- Yellow card for Nemanja Gudelj (Getafe).
- Substitution for Sevilla: Giorgi Kochorashvili comes on for Lucien Agoumé.
- Substitution for Sevilla: Julio Díaz comes on for Gabriel Suazo.
- Red card! Manu Bueno (Sevilla) is sent off.
- GOAL! Orel Mangala scores for Getafe. Getafe 3–1 Sevilla. Assist: Andrés García.
- Full-time: Getafe 3–1 Sevilla.
Team comparison
Ratings
- 347Attack6714
- 6513Defence6313
- 5311Form6213
- 5411Elo strength5812
- 5110Overall6313
6313OVRAway
Sevilla
- ATT
- 6714
- DEF
- 6313
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 5812
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Post-match note
Final score: Getafe 3–1 Sevilla. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Getafe win at only 24%, and its favorite was a Sevilla win (48%). Goals: 4 scored against 2.2 expected (Getafe 3 vs 0.9, Sevilla 1 vs 1.4). Shots: Getafe 11 (5 on target) vs Sevilla 12 (4); possession 47% – 53%.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Getafe (13th, 12 pts from 11) host Sevilla (6th, 17 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Getafe have scored 5 and conceded 15 in 10 La Liga games (0.5 and 1.5 per game). Sevilla have scored 16 and conceded 16 in 10 La Liga games (1.6 and 1.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Getafe DDLLW, Sevilla LDLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Getafe won 1, Sevilla won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.4. Sevilla are clear favorites: Getafe 24%, draw 28%, Sevilla 48%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Getafe 1450, Sevilla 1485) give Getafe an expected score of 54%, which disagrees with the goals model.
Pre-match outlook
Expected goals (model): Getafe 0.87 · Sevilla 1.35 · most likely score 0–1 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.72 / away 1.30 goals per game from 104 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Getafe expected score 54%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Getafe | Sevilla | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Table position | 6th |
| 12 (11) | Points (played) | 17 (11) |
| 3-3-5 | W-D-L | 5-2-4 |
| 0.50 | Goals for / game* | 1.60 |
| 1.50 | Goals against / game* | 1.60 |
| DDLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LDLWW |
| 1450 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1485 |
| 0.49 / 1.00 | Attack / defence index | 1.05 / 1.05 |
| 47 | Possession % (this match) | 53 |
| 11 | Shots (this match) | 12 |
| 5 | Shots on target (this match) | 4 |
| 2 | Corners (this match) | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls (this match) | 18 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Getafe 1 win · 1 draw · Sevilla 3 wins
- Getafe 0–1 Sevilla
- Sevilla 1–2 Getafe
- Getafe 0–0 Sevilla
- Sevilla 1–0 Getafe
- Getafe 0–1 Sevilla