Frosinone
- ATT
- 8016
- DEF
- 6613
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 6613
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone, Italy
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “Frosinone Still in Great Form | FROSINONE-TORINO | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Final score: Frosinone 2–0 Torino. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Frosinone win (54%). Goals: 2 scored against 3.7 expected (Frosinone 2 vs 2.2, Torino 0 vs 1.5). Shots: Frosinone 20 (8 on target) vs Torino 12 (3); possession 45.6% – 54.4%.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Frosinone (6th, 20 pts from 10) host Torino (10th, 13 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Frosinone have scored 22 and conceded 14 in 9 Serie A games (2.4 and 1.6 per game). Torino have scored 14 and conceded 14 in 9 Serie A games (1.6 and 1.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Frosinone WLWDW, Torino DWWWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Frosinone won 1, Torino won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.2–1.5. Frosinone are clear favorites: Frosinone 54%, draw 20%, Torino 25%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Frosinone 1551, Torino 1482) give Frosinone an expected score of 68%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Frosinone 2.25 · Torino 1.50 · most likely score 2–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.55 goals per game from 94 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Frosinone expected score 68%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Frosinone | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Table position | 10th |
| 20 (10) | Points (played) | 13 (10) |
| 6-2-2 | W-D-L | 4-1-5 |
| 2.44 | Goals for / game* | 1.56 |
| 1.56 | Goals against / game* | 1.56 |
| WLWDW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DWWWL |
| 1551 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1482 |
| 1.40 / 0.98 | Attack / defence index | 0.98 / 0.98 |
| 45.6 | Possession % (this match) | 54.4 |
| 20 | Shots (this match) | 12 |
| 8 | Shots on target (this match) | 3 |
| 7 | Corners (this match) | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls (this match) | 13 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Frosinone 1 win · 2 draws · Torino 2 wins