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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg SV: Bundesliga, Nov 1, 2026

Bundesliga
HomeEintracht Frankfurt6012OVR
3–1FT
AwayHamburg SV5611OVR
  • ⚽ 10' Warmed Omari (og)
  • ⚽ 14' Terem Moffi
  • ⚽ 47' Raphael Onyedika
  • ⚽ 69' Younes Ebnoutalib

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 10:30 AM CT · Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt, Germany

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Find official highlights on YouTube

Key moments

  1. Own goal by Warmed Omari (Frankfurt). Frankfurt 1–0 Hamburg.
  2. GOAL! Terem Moffi scores for Hamburg. Frankfurt 1–1 Hamburg. Assist: Albert Grønbaek.
  3. Shafiq Nandja (Hamburg) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  4. Yellow card for Shafiq Nandja (Hamburg).
  5. Substitution for Frankfurt: Ansgar Knauff comes on for Keita Kosugi.
  6. Half-time: Frankfurt 1–1 Hamburg.
  7. GOAL! Raphael Onyedika scores for Frankfurt. Frankfurt 2–1 Hamburg.
  8. Farès Chaïbi (Frankfurt) has the ball in the net, but the goal is ruled out after a video review.
  9. Substitution for Hamburg: Zakaria El Ouahdi comes on for Louis Lemke.
  10. Substitution for Hamburg: Patson Daka comes on for Terem Moffi.
  11. GOAL! Younes Ebnoutalib scores for Frankfurt. Frankfurt 3–1 Hamburg. Assist: Can Uzun.
  12. Yellow card for Martin Adeline (Hamburg).
  13. Substitution for Frankfurt: Jonathan Burkardt comes on for Younes Ebnoutalib.
  14. Yellow card for Warmed Omari (Hamburg).
  15. Ritsu Doan (Frankfurt) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  16. Substitution for Hamburg: Kofi Amoako comes on for Albert Sambi Lokonga.
  17. Substitution for Hamburg: Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit comes on for Martin Adeline.
  18. Yellow card for Elias Baum (Frankfurt).
  19. Substitution for Hamburg: Otto Stange comes on for Albert Grønbaek.
  20. Warmed Omari (Hamburg) hits the woodwork!
  21. Substitution for Frankfurt: Mario Götze comes on for Noël Aséko.
  22. Substitution for Frankfurt: Niko Iličević comes on for Can Uzun.
  23. Yellow card for Robin Koch (Frankfurt).
  24. Yellow card for Otto Stange (Hamburg).
  25. Full-time: Frankfurt 3–1 Hamburg.
Team comparison

Ratings

6012OVRHome

Eintracht Frankfurt

ATT
5912
DEF
5511
FRM
7114
ELO
5712
  • 5912Attack469
  • 5511Defence5712
  • 7114Form7114
  • 5712Elo strength5611
  • 6012Overall5611
ATTDEFFRMELO
Frankfurt Hamburg
5611OVRAway

Hamburg SV

ATT
469
DEF
5712
FRM
7114
ELO
5611

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Frankfurt 3–1 Hamburg. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Frankfurt win (62%). Goals: 4 scored against 3.4 expected (Frankfurt 3 vs 2.2, Hamburg 1 vs 1.1). Shots: Frankfurt 15 (10 on target) vs Hamburg 12 (3); possession 51.9% – 48.1%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Frankfurt (8th, 11 pts from 8) host Hamburg (15th, 9 pts from 8) in the Bundesliga table as it stands. Frankfurt have scored 10 and conceded 17 in 7 Bundesliga games (1.4 and 2.4 per game). Hamburg have scored 6 and conceded 16 in 7 Bundesliga games (0.9 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Frankfurt WLWLW, Hamburg WWWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Frankfurt won 3, Hamburg won 1 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 2.2–1.1. Frankfurt are clear favorites: Frankfurt 62%, draw 19%, Hamburg 18%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Frankfurt 1469, Hamburg 1462) give Frankfurt an expected score of 59%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Frankfurt winDrawHamburg win

Expected goals (model): Frankfurt 2.24 · Hamburg 1.13 · most likely score 2–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.11 / away 1.38 goals per game from 71 Bundesliga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Frankfurt expected score 59%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

FrankfurtHamburg
8thTable position15th
11 (8)Points (played)9 (8)
3-2-3W-D-L3-0-5
1.43Goals for / game*0.86
2.43Goals against / game*2.29
WLWLWForm, last 5 (all comps)WWWLL
1469Elo rating (pre-match)1462
0.87 / 1.27Attack / defence index0.64 / 1.22
51.9Possession % (this match)48.1
15Shots (this match)12
10Shots on target (this match)3
6Corners (this match)6
10Fouls (this match)10

Table: current Bundesliga standings. *Bundesliga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Frankfurt 3 wins · 1 draw · Hamburg 1 win

  • Hamburg SV 1–3 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburg SV
  • Hamburg SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 Hamburg SV
  • Hamburg SV 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt