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Elche vs Valencia: La Liga, Nov 1, 2026

La Liga
HomeElche6513OVR
0–1FT
AwayValencia5311OVR
  • âšœ 69' Umar Sadiq

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 11:30 AM CT · Estadio Martínez Valero, Elche, Spain

Highlights

2D match highlights

Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).

▶ Watch official highlights

Official video from LALIGA on YouTube: “ELCHE CF 0 - 1 VALENCIA CF | HIGHLIGHTS LALIGA EA SPORTS”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.

Key moments

  1. Lucas Cepeda (Elche) hits the woodwork!
  2. Substitution for Elche: Facundo Buonanotte comes on for Thomas Lemar.
  3. Facundo Buonanotte (Elche) has a shot blocked. big chance*
  4. Roy Revivo (Elche) shoots off target. big chance*
  5. Yellow card for GermĂĄn Valera (Elche).
  6. Yellow card for VĂ­ctor Chust (Elche).
  7. Half-time: Elche 0–0 Valencia.
  8. Facundo Buonanotte (Elche) shoots off target. big chance*
  9. Substitution for Valencia: Umar Sadiq comes on for Pablo Maffeo.
  10. Yellow card for Facundo Buonanotte (Elche).
  11. Substitution for Elche: José Antonio Morente comes on for Germån Valera.
  12. Substitution for Elche: Rubén Sånchez comes on for Buba Sangaré.
  13. Substitution for Elche: Abiel Osorio comes on for Lucas Cepeda.
  14. GOAL! Umar Sadiq scores for Valencia. Elche 0–1 Valencia. Assist: Arnaut Danjuma.
  15. Yellow card for Javi Guerra (Valencia).
  16. Substitution for Valencia: Dani Raba comes on for Luis Rioja.
  17. Substitution for Valencia: Filip Ugrinic comes on for Aaron Mayol.
  18. Substitution for Elche: Grady Diangana comes on for Javier Morcillo.
  19. Substitution for Valencia: JesĂșs VĂĄzquez comes on for Arnaut Danjuma.
  20. Substitution for Valencia: Mouctar Diakhaby comes on for Javi Guerra.
  21. Yellow card for Stole Dimitrievski (Valencia).
  22. Federico Redondo (Elche) hits the target. Saved. big chance*
  23. Fer Niño (Elche) shoots off target. big chance*
  24. Full-time: Elche 0–1 Valencia.
Team comparison

Ratings

6513OVRHome

Elche

ATT
6213
DEF
6112
FRM
8116
ELO
5912
  • 6213Attack428
  • 6112Defence6112
  • 8116Form5311
  • 5912Elo strength5812
  • 6513Overall5311
ATTDEFFRMELO
Elche Valencia
5311OVRAway

Valencia

ATT
428
DEF
6112
FRM
5311
ELO
5812

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Post-match note

Final score: Elche 0–1 Valencia. By the model's pre-match numbers that was a surprise. It rated a Valencia win at only 18%, and its favorite was a Elche win (59%). Goals: 1 scored against 2.6 expected (Elche 0 vs 1.8, Valencia 1 vs 0.8). Shots: Elche 16 (3 on target) vs Valencia 5 (3); possession 69.1% – 30.9%.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Elche (17th, 10 pts from 11) host Valencia (19th, 9 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Elche have scored 14 and conceded 17 in 10 La Liga games (1.4 and 1.7 per game). Valencia have scored 7 and conceded 17 in 10 La Liga games (0.7 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Elche WDDWW, Valencia WLDDL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Elche won 1, Valencia won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.8–0.8. Elche are clear favorites: Elche 59%, draw 23%, Valencia 18%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Elche 1492, Valencia 1480) give Elche an expected score of 60%, which agrees with the goals model.

Pre-match outlook

Elche winDrawValencia win

Expected goals (model): Elche 1.77 · Valencia 0.84 · most likely score 1–0 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.72 / away 1.31 goals per game from 106 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Elche expected score 60%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

ElcheValencia
17thTable position19th
10 (11)Points (played)9 (11)
2-4-5W-D-L2-3-6
1.40Goals for / game*0.70
1.70Goals against / game*1.70
WDDWWForm, last 5 (all comps)WLDDL
1492Elo rating (pre-match)1480
0.94 / 1.09Attack / defence index0.59 / 1.09
69.1Possession % (this match)30.9
16Shots (this match)5
3Shots on target (this match)3
6Corners (this match)2
9Fouls (this match)15

Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Elche 1 win · 2 draws · Valencia 2 wins

  • Elche 1–0 Valencia
  • Valencia 1–1 Elche
  • Elche 0–2 Valencia
  • Valencia 2–2 Elche
  • Elche 0–1 Valencia