The Coefficient7916OVRHome
Como
- ATT
- 7014
- DEF
- 8317
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 8116
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Como vs Venezia: Serie A, Nov 1, 2026
Serie AHomeComo7916OVR
1–0FT
AwayVenezia479OVR
- ⚽ 43' Lucas Da Cunha (pen)
Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 5:30 AM CT · Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como, Italy
Highlights
2D match highlights
Animated reconstruction from match data, not real footage. Player movement between events is generated; goals, shots, cards, substitutions and their minutes come from the ESPN match feed (shot positions included).
▶ Watch official highlights
Official video from Serie A on YouTube: “Da Cunha Wins it From the Spot | COMO-VENEZIA | HIGHLIGHTS | Serie A 2026/27”. May be geo-restricted in some countries.
Key moments
- Yellow card for Simon Sohm (Venezia).
- Yellow card for Juan Jesus (Venezia).
- GOAL! Lucas Da Cunha scores from the penalty spot for Como. Como 1–0 Venezia.
- Half-time: Como 1–0 Venezia.
- Substitution for Venezia: Enrique Perez comes on for Gianluca Busio.
- Substitution for Venezia: John Yeboah comes on for Lion Lauberbach.
- Substitution for Venezia: Toma Basic comes on for Simon Sohm.
- Substitution for Venezia: Richie Sagrado comes on for Antoine Hainaut.
- Substitution for Como: Maxence Caqueret comes on for Nico Paz.
- Substitution for Como: Mattia Liberali comes on for Lucas Da Cunha.
- Substitution for Como: Máximo Perrone comes on for Samuele Ricci.
- Substitution for Venezia: Albion Rrahmani comes on for Thorir Johann Helgason.
- Substitution for Como: Ivan Smolcic comes on for Yan Couto.
- Substitution for Como: Álex Valle comes on for Martin Baturina.
- Yellow card for Kaiki (Como).
- Marc-Oliver Kempf (Como) shoots off target. big chance*
- Full-time: Como 1–0 Venezia.
Team comparison
Ratings
- 7014Attack408
- 8317Defence5611
- 8517Form449
- 8116Elo strength479
- 7916Overall479
479OVRAway
Venezia
- ATT
- 408
- DEF
- 5611
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 479
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Post-match note
Final score: Como 1–0 Venezia. That matched the model's most likely outcome, a Como win (76%). Goals: 1 scored against 2.9 expected (Como 1 vs 2.3, Venezia 0 vs 0.6). Shots: Como 19 (4 on target) vs Venezia 7 (1); possession 65.7% – 34.3%.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Como (4th, 23 pts from 10) host Venezia (20th, 3 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Como have scored 17 and conceded 8 in 9 Serie A games (1.9 and 0.9 per game). Venezia have scored 6 and conceded 19 in 9 Serie A games (0.7 and 2.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Como LWWWW, Venezia LLWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Como won 1, Venezia won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.3–0.6. Como are clear favorites: Como 76%, draw 16%, Venezia 8%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Como 1690, Venezia 1380) give Como an expected score of 89%, which agrees with the goals model.
Pre-match outlook
Expected goals (model): Como 2.30 · Venezia 0.59 · most likely score 2–0 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.57 goals per game from 93 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Como expected score 89%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Como | Venezia | |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Table position | 20th |
| 23 (10) | Points (played) | 3 (10) |
| 7-2-1 | W-D-L | 1-0-9 |
| 1.89 | Goals for / game* | 0.67 |
| 0.89 | Goals against / game* | 2.11 |
| LWWWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLWLL |
| 1690 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1380 |
| 1.13 / 0.67 | Attack / defence index | 0.56 / 1.24 |
| 65.7 | Possession % (this match) | 34.3 |
| 19 | Shots (this match) | 7 |
| 4 | Shots on target (this match) | 1 |
| 8 | Corners (this match) | 1 |
| 5 | Fouls (this match) | 9 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Como 1 win · 2 draws · Venezia 2 wins
- Como 1–1 Venezia
- Venezia 2–2 Como
- Como 2–1 Venezia
- Venezia 3–0 Como
- Venezia 3–2 Como